Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 16/08, 15:30

Prediction: Stjørdals/Blink vs Honefoss

Team pages: Stjørdals/Blink · Honefoss

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

Stjørdals/Blink1.81

Honefoss2.05

1X2

34% 23% 43%

Stjørdals/Blink Draw Honefoss

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Stjørdals/Blink 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWDWWW

Honefoss 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Stjørdals/Blink 0–5 Honefoss (5 last)

Honefoss3-2Stjørdals/Blink
Honefoss4-1Stjørdals/Blink
Stjørdals/Blink0-3Honefoss
Honefoss4-2Stjørdals/Blink
Stjørdals/Blink1-2Honefoss

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stjørdals/Blink 1530 · Honefoss 1583

	Stjørdals/Blink	Draw	Honefoss
Our model	34%	23%	43%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Honefoss (rating 1530 vs 1583).
H2H favours Honefoss: 5-0-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stjørdals/Blink	Honefoss
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.5	3.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.7	3.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 3.10 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.77
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:12 +3’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:09 +6’	3.17	3.80	1.94
23:35 +1’	3.10▼	3.77▼	1.98▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stjørdals/Blink 0–0–5 Honefoss

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Honefoss	3-2 HT 1-1	Stjørdals/Blink
12/10/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Honefoss	4-1 HT 2-0	Stjørdals/Blink
30/03/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	0-3 HT 0-2	Honefoss
17/09/16 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Honefoss	4-2 HT 1-1	Stjørdals/Blink
28/05/16 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	1-2 HT 0-2	Honefoss

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	16	12	2	2	41	14	38
2	Kjelsås	15	11	1	3	34	21	34
3	Honefoss	15	10	2	3	42	20	32
4	Levanger	15	10	0	5	30	19	30
5	Grorud	15	8	2	5	24	15	26
6	Lørenskog	16	8	2	6	27	24	26
7	Tromsdalen	15	7	2	6	24	27	23
8	Stjørdals/Blink	15	6	2	7	25	26	20
9	Junkeren	15	6	2	7	22	26	20
10	Rana FK	14	5	2	7	24	27	17
11	Skeid	15	4	1	10	22	29	13
12	Follo	14	2	3	9	15	29	9
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	15	3	0	12	20	53	9
14	Trygg/Lade	15	2	1	12	18	38	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stjørdals/Blink	Honefoss
Grorud	1-0 W	2-3 L
Junkeren	1-1 D	3-4 L
Tromsdalen	4-2 W	3-0 W
Kjelsås	1-1 D	3-1 W
Skeid	0-1 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Honefoss (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stjørdals/Blink

LLDLWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	0	2	W
01/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	4-2	7	1	W
25/07	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
28/06	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
20/06	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	4-2	3	1	W
14/06	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	10	2	W
31/05	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
23/05	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
14/05	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-3	5	4	L
09/05	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	1	1	L

Honefoss

WWLDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	9-1	–	–	W
01/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-1	9	3	W
25/07	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	3-1	6	1	W
27/06	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-1	5	4	W
21/06	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
14/06	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-2	3-4	7	1	L
31/05	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
23/05	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	2-3	6	6	L
14/05	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-2	8	4	W
10/05	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stjørdals/Blink vs Honefoss?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Honefoss win (43%). Probabilities: Stjørdals/Blink 34%, draw 23%, Honefoss 43%.

How many goals are expected in Stjørdals/Blink vs Honefoss?

The model expects 3.86 goals (Stjørdals/Blink 1.81 · Honefoss 2.05), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stjørdals/Blink vs Honefoss?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.