Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 12/09, 12:30
Prediction: Levanger vs Follo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
Levanger2.89
Follo0.89
1X2
Levanger
Draw
Follo
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Levanger
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Follo
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Levanger
4–1
Follo
(5 last)
- Follo0-2Levanger
- Follo1-4Levanger
- Levanger0-1Follo
- Follo1-2Levanger
- Levanger3-1Follo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Levanger 1599 · Follo 1444
| Levanger | Draw | Follo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.78 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levanger (rating 1599 vs 1444).
- H2H favours Levanger: 4-0-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Levanger | Follo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 0.8 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6 | 2.6 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Levanger 4–0–1 Follo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Follo | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Levanger |
| 23/08/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Follo | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Levanger |
| 14/06/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Levanger | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Follo |
| 25/10/15 Norway Division 1 | Follo | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Levanger |
| 03/05/15 Norway Division 1 | Levanger | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Follo |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold TF | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 15 | 42 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Levanger | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 19 | 39 |
| 4 | Honefoss | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 27 | 38 |
| 5 | Grorud | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 30 |
| 6 | Lørenskog | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 30 | 27 |
| 7 | Stjørdals/Blink | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 33 | 24 |
| 8 | Rana FK | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 36 | 24 |
| 9 | Tromsdalen | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 23 |
| 10 | Junkeren | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 22 |
| 11 | Skeid | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 36 | 17 |
| 12 | Follo | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 13 |
| 13 | Ullensaker/Kisa | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 61 | 10 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 43 | 9 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Levanger | Follo |
|---|---|---|
| Ullensaker/Kisa | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Kjelsås | 1-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Junkeren | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Levanger (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Levanger
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
4-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Follo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/06 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Levanger vs Follo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Levanger win (78%). Probabilities: Levanger 78%, draw 14%, Follo 8%.
How many goals are expected in Levanger vs Follo?
The model expects 3.78 goals (Levanger 2.89 · Follo 0.89), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Levanger vs Follo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.