Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 19/09, 18:00

Prediction: Rana FK vs Honefoss

Team pages: Rana FK · Honefoss

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

Rana FK1.91

Honefoss2.04

1X2

36% 22% 41%

Rana FK Draw Honefoss

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Rana FK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWDWLL

Honefoss 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWWD

Head-to-head

Rana FK 1–2 Honefoss (3 last)

Honefoss2-1Rana FK
Rana FK1-0Honefoss
Honefoss4-2Rana FK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Honefoss (rating 1507 vs 1581).
H2H favours Honefoss: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rana FK	Honefoss
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2.1	3.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.4	3.6 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.6	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.83

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 18:32

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.67 → 3.29▼	Pinn 3.29
X	4.06 → 3.94▼	Pinn 3.94
2	1.75 → 1.92▲	Pinn 1.92

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:29 +262’	3.67	4.06	1.75
08:12 +75’	3.24▼	3.87▼	1.90▲
17:31 +61’	3.29▲	3.94▲	1.92▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rana FK 1–0–2 Honefoss

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Honefoss	2-1 HT 1-1	Rana FK
21/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Rana FK	1-0 HT 1-0	Honefoss
21/06/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Honefoss	4-2 HT 2-2	Rana FK

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	19	14	3	2	47	16	45
2	Kjelsås	19	14	1	4	45	26	43
3	Levanger	19	14	0	5	50	21	42
4	Honefoss	19	12	3	4	50	28	39
5	Grorud	19	10	4	5	31	18	34
6	Lørenskog	19	9	3	7	29	30	30
7	Tromsdalen	19	8	2	9	28	34	26
8	Junkeren	19	7	4	8	26	31	25
9	Rana FK	19	7	3	9	34	37	24
10	Stjørdals/Blink	19	7	3	9	32	38	24
11	Skeid	19	5	2	12	27	37	17
12	Follo	19	3	4	12	23	42	13
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	19	3	1	15	23	64	10
14	Trygg/Lade	19	2	3	14	23	46	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rana FK	Honefoss
Lørenskog	0-1 L	3-1 W
Grorud	2-4 L	1-1 D
Ullensaker/Kisa	2-1 W	9-1 W
Follo	3-3 D	2-1 W
Skeid	2-0 W	3-1 W
Stjørdals/Blink	2-4 L	2-4 L
Kjelsås	2-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Honefoss (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rana FK

DWLLWWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-4	2-4	2	3	L
30/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
16/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	3-1	1	6	W
09/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
01/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-4	4	1	L
26/07	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
27/06	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
14/06	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-2	3-3	7	2	D

Honefoss

LWWWWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
06/09	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-2	4	3	W
30/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
16/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-4	7	2	L
08/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	9-1	–	–	W
01/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-1	9	3	W
25/07	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	3-1	6	1	W
27/06	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-1	5	4	W
21/06	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
14/06	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-2	3-4	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rana FK vs Honefoss?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Honefoss win (41%). Probabilities: Rana FK 36%, draw 22%, Honefoss 41%.

How many goals are expected in Rana FK vs Honefoss?

The model expects 3.95 goals (Rana FK 1.91 · Honefoss 2.04), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Rana FK vs Honefoss?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.