Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Ullensaker/Kisa vs Junkeren

Team pages: Ullensaker/Kisa · Junkeren

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

Ullensaker/Kisa1.88

Junkeren1.79

1X2

40% 23% 37%

Ullensaker/Kisa Draw Junkeren

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Ullensaker/Kisa 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDLLL

Junkeren 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWLDDW

Head-to-head

Ullensaker/Kisa 1–2–2 Junkeren (5 last)

Junkeren3-0Ullensaker/Kisa
Ullensaker/Kisa5-1Junkeren
Junkeren3-0Ullensaker/Kisa
Junkeren0-0Ullensaker/Kisa
Ullensaker/Kisa1-1Junkeren

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ullensaker/Kisa 1405 · Junkeren 1505

	Ullensaker/Kisa	Draw	Junkeren
Our model	40%	23%	37%
Market	40%	23%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Junkeren (rating 1405 vs 1505).
H2H favours Junkeren: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ullensaker/Kisa	Junkeren
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 3.2	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.3	1.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.90

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.49 ★
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Pinn 4.08
2	2.00 → 2.40▲	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.8% Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:53 +7’	2.70	4.00	2.00
20:42 +12’	2.20▼	3.90▼	2.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:29 +85’	2.49	4.08	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ullensaker/Kisa 1–2–2 Junkeren

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Junkeren	3-0 HT 3-0	Ullensaker/Kisa
04/08/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Ullensaker/Kisa	5-1 HT 3-0	Junkeren
09/06/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Junkeren	3-0 HT 1-0	Ullensaker/Kisa
12/08/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Junkeren	0-0 HT 0-0	Ullensaker/Kisa
07/05/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Ullensaker/Kisa	1-1 HT 1-0	Junkeren

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	19	14	3	2	47	16	45
2	Kjelsås	19	14	1	4	45	26	43
3	Levanger	19	14	0	5	50	21	42
4	Honefoss	19	12	3	4	50	28	39
5	Grorud	19	10	4	5	31	18	34
6	Lørenskog	19	9	3	7	29	30	30
7	Tromsdalen	19	8	2	9	28	34	26
8	Junkeren	19	7	4	8	26	31	25
9	Rana FK	19	7	3	9	34	37	24
10	Stjørdals/Blink	19	7	3	9	32	38	24
11	Skeid	19	5	2	12	27	37	17
12	Follo	19	3	4	12	23	42	13
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	19	3	1	15	23	64	10
14	Trygg/Lade	19	2	3	14	23	46	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ullensaker/Kisa	Junkeren
Eidsvold TF	1-3 L	1-4 L
Honefoss	1-9 L	4-3 W
Kjelsås	0-3 L	0-2 L
Grorud	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ullensaker/Kisa

WLLLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
06/09	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-5	4	3	L
30/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
08/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	1-9	–	–	L
02/08	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
25/07	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
27/06	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	1-3	3	7	L
20/06	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-3	3	1	L
13/06	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	6	7	W

Junkeren

WLDWLWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
06/09	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
30/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
16/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
08/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	4-1	5	3	W
02/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-4	2	3	L
25/07	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
28/06	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
21/06	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-3	5	3	L
14/06	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-2	4-3	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ullensaker/Kisa vs Junkeren?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ullensaker/Kisa win (40%). Probabilities: Ullensaker/Kisa 40%, draw 23%, Junkeren 37%.

How many goals are expected in Ullensaker/Kisa vs Junkeren?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Ullensaker/Kisa 1.88 · Junkeren 1.79), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ullensaker/Kisa vs Junkeren?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.