Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 20/09, 18:00

Prediction: Trygg/Lade vs Levanger

Team pages: Trygg/Lade · Levanger

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Trygg/Lade1.14

Levanger2.42

1X2

16% 19% 65%

Trygg/Lade Draw Levanger

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Trygg/Lade 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLDDLL

Levanger 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Trygg/Lade 0–3 Levanger (3 last)

Levanger3-0Trygg/Lade
Trygg/Lade1-3Levanger
Trygg/Lade1-2Levanger

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trygg/Lade 1419 · Levanger 1577

	Trygg/Lade	Draw	Levanger
Our model	15%	20%	65%
Market	16%	18%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levanger (rating 1419 vs 1577).
H2H favours Levanger: 3-0-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trygg/Lade	Levanger
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.5	3.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	1.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.9	3.2 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

15.50

X5.00

21.36

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 6.23
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.90 ★
2	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:27 +4’	5.50	5.00	1.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:40 +51’	6.05	5.16	1.36
20:50 +35’	6.23▲	5.90▲	1.31▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trygg/Lade 0–0–3 Levanger

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	3-0 HT 3-0	Trygg/Lade
27/08/25 Norway Cup	Trygg/Lade	1-3 HT 1-2	Levanger
18/05/22 Norway Cup	Trygg/Lade	1-2 HT 0-0	Levanger

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	19	14	3	2	47	16	45
2	Kjelsås	19	14	1	4	45	26	43
3	Levanger	19	14	0	5	50	21	42
4	Honefoss	19	12	3	4	50	28	39
5	Grorud	19	10	4	5	31	18	34
6	Lørenskog	19	9	3	7	29	30	30
7	Tromsdalen	19	8	2	9	28	34	26
8	Junkeren	19	7	4	8	26	31	25
9	Rana FK	19	7	3	9	34	37	24
10	Stjørdals/Blink	19	7	3	9	32	38	24
11	Skeid	19	5	2	12	27	37	17
12	Follo	19	3	4	12	23	42	13
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	19	3	1	15	23	64	10
14	Trygg/Lade	19	2	3	14	23	46	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trygg/Lade	Levanger
Skeid	1-1 D	5-0 W
Ullensaker/Kisa	1-1 D	5-0 W
Follo	2-1 W	5-2 W
Eidsvold TF	1-2 L	3-1 W
Lørenskog	1-4 L	5-0 W
Stjørdals/Blink	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Levanger (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trygg/Lade

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
06/09	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	2-3	7	3	L
30/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
16/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
08/08	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
02/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	10	2	W
26/07	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-2	2	1	L
28/06	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-7	1	2	L
21/06	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-4	8	6	L
14/06	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-2	2	2	L

Levanger

WWWWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	5-2	5	1	W
06/09	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	5-0	8	3	W
30/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	5-0	5	1	W
16/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-0	5-0	5	2	W
08/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
02/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-3	1-4	7	3	L
25/07	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
28/06	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
20/06	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
14/06	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-1	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trygg/Lade vs Levanger?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Levanger win (65%). Probabilities: Trygg/Lade 16%, draw 19%, Levanger 65%.

How many goals are expected in Trygg/Lade vs Levanger?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Trygg/Lade 1.14 · Levanger 2.42), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Trygg/Lade vs Levanger?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.