Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: Stjørdals/Blink vs Lørenskog

Team pages: Stjørdals/Blink · Lørenskog

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Stjørdals/Blink1.83

Lørenskog1.7

1X2

41% 24% 35%

Stjørdals/Blink Draw Lørenskog

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Stjørdals/Blink 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWDLL

Lørenskog 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLLLDW

Head-to-head

Stjørdals/Blink 0–1 Lørenskog (1 last)

Lørenskog2-1Stjørdals/Blink

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stjørdals/Blink 1532 · Lørenskog 1469

	Stjørdals/Blink	Draw	Lørenskog
Our model	41%	24%	35%
Market	41%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stjørdals/Blink (rating 1532 vs 1469).
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stjørdals/Blink	Lørenskog
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.9	1.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.70

22.55

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.81

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.92
2	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 3.17 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:03 +41’	2.20	3.70	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:18 +26’	1.92	3.92	3.17

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stjørdals/Blink 0–0–1 Lørenskog

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Lørenskog	2-1 HT 0-1	Stjørdals/Blink

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	19	14	3	2	47	16	45
2	Kjelsås	19	14	1	4	45	26	43
3	Levanger	19	14	0	5	50	21	42
4	Honefoss	19	12	3	4	50	28	39
5	Grorud	19	10	4	5	31	18	34
6	Lørenskog	19	9	3	7	29	30	30
7	Tromsdalen	19	8	2	9	28	34	26
8	Junkeren	19	7	4	8	26	31	25
9	Rana FK	19	7	3	9	34	37	24
10	Stjørdals/Blink	19	7	3	9	32	38	24
11	Skeid	19	5	2	12	27	37	17
12	Follo	19	3	4	12	23	42	13
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	19	3	1	15	23	64	10
14	Trygg/Lade	19	2	3	14	23	46	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stjørdals/Blink	Lørenskog
Eidsvold TF	1-3 L	1-7 L
Junkeren	2-2 D	1-1 D
Honefoss	4-2 W	1-3 L
Levanger	2-1 W	0-5 L
Rana FK	4-2 W	1-0 W
Grorud	1-0 W	1-0 W
Tromsdalen	4-2 W	0-2 L
Trygg/Lade	2-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Stjørdals/Blink (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stjørdals/Blink

WWDWWWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-5	3	3	L
05/09	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	1-3	1	1	L
30/08	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	2-2	7	1	D
16/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	4-2	2	2	W
08/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	0	2	W
01/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	4-2	7	1	W
25/07	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
28/06	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
20/06	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	4-2	3	1	W
14/06	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	10	2	W

Lørenskog

WWWLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
30/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	0-5	5	1	L
15/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-4	1-7	4	1	L
09/08	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-3	6	3	L
25/07	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
27/06	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	0	2	W
21/06	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	4-1	5	6	W
14/06	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	6-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stjørdals/Blink vs Lørenskog?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stjørdals/Blink win (41%). Probabilities: Stjørdals/Blink 41%, draw 24%, Lørenskog 35%.

How many goals are expected in Stjørdals/Blink vs Lørenskog?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Stjørdals/Blink 1.83 · Lørenskog 1.7), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Stjørdals/Blink vs Lørenskog?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.