Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 20/09, 17:00

Prediction: Skeid vs Tromsdalen

Team pages: Skeid · Tromsdalen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Skeid1.76

Tromsdalen1.68

1X2

40% 24% 36%

Skeid Draw Tromsdalen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Skeid 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLLDWL

Tromsdalen 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWLLWL

Head-to-head

Skeid 3–1–2 Tromsdalen (6 last)

Tromsdalen2-0Skeid
Tromsdalen4-3Skeid
Skeid2-2Tromsdalen
Skeid3-0Tromsdalen
Skeid1-0Tromsdalen
Skeid3-2Tromsdalen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skeid 1446 · Tromsdalen 1501

	Skeid	Draw	Tromsdalen
Our model	39%	24%	36%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tromsdalen (rating 1446 vs 1501).
H2H favours Skeid: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skeid	Tromsdalen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.4	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.5	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.6	1.2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.75

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.56 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:06 +12’	2.25	3.75	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:00 +254’	2.56	3.62	2.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skeid 3–1–2 Tromsdalen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Tromsdalen	2-0 HT 1-0	Skeid
05/10/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Tromsdalen	4-3 HT 1-1	Skeid
06/04/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Skeid	2-2 HT 1-2	Tromsdalen
23/02/24 Europe Friendlies	Skeid	3-0 HT 1-0	Tromsdalen
08/11/20 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Skeid	1-0 HT 0-0	Tromsdalen
13/09/20 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Skeid	3-2 HT 1-0	Tromsdalen

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	19	14	3	2	47	16	45
2	Kjelsås	19	14	1	4	45	26	43
3	Levanger	19	14	0	5	50	21	42
4	Honefoss	19	12	3	4	50	28	39
5	Grorud	19	10	4	5	31	18	34
6	Lørenskog	19	9	3	7	29	30	30
7	Tromsdalen	19	8	2	9	28	34	26
8	Junkeren	19	7	4	8	26	31	25
9	Rana FK	19	7	3	9	34	37	24
10	Stjørdals/Blink	19	7	3	9	32	38	24
11	Skeid	19	5	2	12	27	37	17
12	Follo	19	3	4	12	23	42	13
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	19	3	1	15	23	64	10
14	Trygg/Lade	19	2	3	14	23	46	9

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skeid	Tromsdalen
Kjelsås	4-1 W	1-3 L
Trygg/Lade	1-1 D	3-1 W
Grorud	1-5 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tromsdalen (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skeid

DLWLLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
05/09	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	4-1	4	5	W
30/08	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
16/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-4	0-5	5	2	L
09/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-3	1-5	3	3	L
25/07	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-3	4	1	L
28/06	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	7-1	2	2	W
20/06	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
14/06	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-2	3-3	2	2	D

Tromsdalen

LLLDWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
13/09	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
30/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
09/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/06	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
20/06	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-3	2-4	2	1	L
14/06	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-6	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skeid vs Tromsdalen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skeid win (40%). Probabilities: Skeid 40%, draw 24%, Tromsdalen 36%.

How many goals are expected in Skeid vs Tromsdalen?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Skeid 1.76 · Tromsdalen 1.68), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Skeid vs Tromsdalen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.