Prediction: Konnerud vs Baerum
- Baerum7-2Konnerud
| Konnerud | Draw | Baerum | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 7% | 10% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Baerum (rating 1427 vs 1571).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Konnerud | Baerum | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 3 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Konnerud 0–0–1 Baerum
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Baerum | 7-2 HT 2-1 | Konnerud |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Gamle Oslo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 60 | 30 | 34 |
| 3 | Baerum | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 56 | 29 | 31 |
| 4 | Heming | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 25 | 30 |
| 5 | Valerenga 2 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 47 | 28 |
| 6 | IF Ready | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 38 | 26 | 27 |
| 7 | Frigg | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 31 | 26 |
| 8 | FK Union Carl Berner | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 26 | 21 |
| 9 | KFUM 2 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 45 | 17 |
| 10 | Nordstrand | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 40 | 16 |
| 11 | Ullern | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 41 | 14 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 50 | 14 |
| 13 | Konnerud | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 46 | 12 |
| 14 | Grei | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 56 | 10 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Konnerud | Baerum |
|---|---|---|
| Grei | 1-3 L | 7-1 W |
| IF Ready | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Konnerud
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-5 | 1-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 25/06 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 2-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-1 | 4-3 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Baerum
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 7-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 10/08 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
4-2 | 6-3 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 20/06 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 7-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Konnerud vs Baerum?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Baerum win (79%). Probabilities: Konnerud 9%, draw 12%, Baerum 79%.
How many goals are expected in Konnerud vs Baerum?
The model expects 4.58 goals (Konnerud 1.29 · Baerum 3.29), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Konnerud vs Baerum?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.