Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Valerenga 2 vs Konnerud

Team pages: Valerenga 2 · Konnerud

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.6Total

Valerenga 23.02

Konnerud1.58

1X2

66% 17% 17%

Valerenga 2 Draw Konnerud

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

3-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Valerenga 2 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLWLWL

Konnerud 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLWLD

Head-to-head

Valerenga 2 0–1 Konnerud (1 last)

Konnerud4-1Valerenga 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valerenga 2 1506 · Konnerud 1446

	Valerenga 2	Draw	Konnerud
Our model	66%	17%	17%
Market	66%	17%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 4.6 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valerenga 2 (rating 1506 vs 1446).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Valerenga 2	Konnerud
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 3.1	1.4 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.6	0.7 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.7	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.36

X5.25

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.85

Under 4.51.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 4.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:56 +3’	1.36	5.25	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Valerenga 2 0–0–1 Konnerud

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Konnerud	4-1 HT 1-1	Valerenga 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	16	14	1	1	55	20	43
2	Gamle Oslo	17	12	1	4	63	32	37
3	Heming	17	10	3	4	40	27	33
4	Baerum	17	10	2	5	57	30	32
5	Valerenga 2	17	9	1	7	42	52	28
6	IF Ready	17	7	6	4	40	29	27
7	Frigg	16	7	5	4	39	31	26
8	FK Union Carl Berner	16	7	0	9	25	26	21
9	KFUM 2	16	5	2	9	34	45	17
10	Ullern	17	5	2	10	32	43	17
11	Nordstrand	17	5	1	11	30	45	16
12	Lokomotiv Oslo	17	4	2	11	27	53	14
13	Konnerud	17	4	1	12	25	47	13
14	Grei	17	4	1	12	30	59	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valerenga 2	Konnerud
IF Ready	4-3 W	0-1 L
Lokomotiv Oslo	3-2 W	4-3 W
Baerum	3-6 L	1-1 D
FK Union Carl Berner	2-1 W	2-1 W
Nordstrand	3-2 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Valerenga 2 (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valerenga 2

LWWWWLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	2-5	6	4	L
16/08	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	4-3	10	2	W
08/08	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	4-5	4	3	L
01/08	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	3-2	7	6	W
25/07	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-4	3-6	6	4	L
26/06	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
21/06	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
06/06	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	3-2	5	5	W
31/05	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
25/05	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-3	1-6	11	4	L

Konnerud

WLLLLLLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
15/08	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-5	1-7	1	1	L
07/08	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
01/08	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	2-3	2	3	L
25/07	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	1-3	8	4	L
25/06	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
20/06	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	2-7	1	1	L
13/06	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
30/05	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
25/05	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-1	4-3	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valerenga 2 vs Konnerud?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Valerenga 2 win (66%). Probabilities: Valerenga 2 66%, draw 17%, Konnerud 17%.

How many goals are expected in Valerenga 2 vs Konnerud?

The model expects 4.6 goals (Valerenga 2 3.02 · Konnerud 1.58), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Valerenga 2 vs Konnerud?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.