Prediction: Baerum vs Nordstrand
Team pages: Baerum · Nordstrand
- Nordstrand1-5Baerum
- Baerum1-2Nordstrand
- Baerum3-3Nordstrand
- Nordstrand2-2Baerum
- Nordstrand2-2Baerum
| Baerum | Draw | Nordstrand | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| Market | 71% | 15% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Baerum (rating 1580 vs 1416).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Baerum | Nordstrand | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.9 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Baerum 1–3–1 Nordstrand
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Nordstrand | 1-5 HT 0-4 | Baerum |
| 08/02/25 Europe Friendlies | Baerum | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Nordstrand |
| 31/08/24 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Baerum | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Nordstrand |
| 25/05/24 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Nordstrand | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Baerum |
| 24/07/21 Norway Cup | Nordstrand | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Baerum |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Gamle Oslo | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 63 | 32 | 37 |
| 3 | Heming | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 27 | 33 |
| 4 | Baerum | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 32 |
| 5 | Valerenga 2 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 42 | 52 | 28 |
| 6 | IF Ready | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 27 |
| 7 | Frigg | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 31 | 26 |
| 8 | FK Union Carl Berner | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 26 | 21 |
| 9 | KFUM 2 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 45 | 17 |
| 10 | Ullern | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 43 | 17 |
| 11 | Nordstrand | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 45 | 16 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 53 | 14 |
| 13 | Konnerud | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 47 | 13 |
| 14 | Grei | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 59 | 13 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Baerum | Nordstrand |
|---|---|---|
| Konnerud | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Grei | 7-1 W | 3-5 L |
| KFUM 2 | 5-1 W | 2-7 L |
| Valerenga 2 | 6-3 W | 2-3 L |
| Frigg | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Baerum (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Baerum
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 7-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 10/08 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
4-2 | 6-3 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 20/06 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 7-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
Nordstrand
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/08 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-3 | 2-7 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Baerum vs Nordstrand?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Baerum win (71%). Probabilities: Baerum 71%, draw 15%, Nordstrand 14%.
How many goals are expected in Baerum vs Nordstrand?
The model expects 4.6 goals (Baerum 3.17 · Nordstrand 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Baerum vs Nordstrand?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.