Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: Frigg vs IF Ready

Team pages: Frigg · IF Ready

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.12Total

Frigg2.32

IF Ready1.79

1X2

49% 21% 30%

Frigg Draw IF Ready

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Frigg 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDDDWD

IF Ready 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDLDLL

Head-to-head

Frigg 2–2–2 IF Ready (6 last)

IF Ready3-3Frigg
IF Ready1-1Frigg
Frigg1-4IF Ready
IF Ready2-1Frigg
IF Ready0-3Frigg
Frigg1-0IF Ready

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frigg 1528 · IF Ready 1463

	Frigg	Draw	IF Ready
Our model	49%	21%	29%
Market	50%	21%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 4.12 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frigg (rating 1528 vs 1463).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frigg	IF Ready
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.6	2.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	2.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.33

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.82

Under 41.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
13:45 +2’	1.80	4.33	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Frigg 2–2–2 IF Ready

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	IF Ready	3-3 HT 0-1	Frigg
14/08/21 Norway Division 3 Group 4	IF Ready	1-1 HT 0-0	Frigg
19/10/19 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Frigg	1-4 HT 1-0	IF Ready
22/04/19 Norway Division 3 Group 2	IF Ready	2-1 HT 0-0	Frigg
07/10/17 Norway Division 3 Group 2	IF Ready	0-3 HT 0-1	Frigg
24/06/17 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Frigg	1-0 HT 0-0	IF Ready

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	16	14	1	1	55	20	43
2	Gamle Oslo	17	12	1	4	63	32	37
3	Heming	17	10	3	4	40	27	33
4	Baerum	17	10	2	5	57	30	32
5	Valerenga 2	17	9	1	7	42	52	28
6	IF Ready	17	7	6	4	40	29	27
7	Frigg	16	7	5	4	39	31	26
8	FK Union Carl Berner	16	7	0	9	25	26	21
9	KFUM 2	16	5	2	9	34	45	17
10	Ullern	17	5	2	10	32	43	17
11	Nordstrand	17	5	1	11	30	45	16
12	Lokomotiv Oslo	17	4	2	11	27	53	14
13	Konnerud	17	4	1	12	25	47	13
14	Grei	17	4	1	12	30	59	13

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frigg	IF Ready
Baerum	1-1 D	4-2 W
Heming	4-1 W	1-1 D
Gamle Oslo	3-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Frigg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frigg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
01/08	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	2-2	2	6	D
27/07	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	3-3	7	9	D
27/06	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
20/06	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	3-1	7	3	W
13/06	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	4-1	4	1	W
30/05	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	3-0	3-1	2	4	W
23/05	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
16/05	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	2-1	7	3	W

IF Ready

WDWLWDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	2-3	8	6	L
16/08	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	3-4	6	2	L
08/08	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	1-1	9	2	D
02/08	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
27/07	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-1	3-3	6	9	D
25/06	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
21/06	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	8	4	L
13/06	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	5-3	5	5	W
30/05	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	2-2	8	6	D
23/05	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	4-2	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frigg vs IF Ready?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frigg win (49%). Probabilities: Frigg 49%, draw 21%, IF Ready 30%.

How many goals are expected in Frigg vs IF Ready?

The model expects 4.12 goals (Frigg 2.32 · IF Ready 1.79), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Frigg vs IF Ready?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.