Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Gamle Oslo vs Nordstrand

Team pages: Gamle Oslo · Nordstrand

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.42Total

Gamle Oslo2.84

Nordstrand1.58

1X2

63% 18% 19%

Gamle Oslo Draw Nordstrand

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Gamle Oslo 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Nordstrand 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Gamle Oslo 1–2–0 Nordstrand (3 last)

Nordstrand1-2Gamle Oslo
Nordstrand1-1Gamle Oslo
Gamle Oslo2-2Nordstrand

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gamle Oslo 1523 · Nordstrand 1423

	Gamle Oslo	Draw	Nordstrand
Our model	63%	18%	19%
Market	63%	18%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gamle Oslo (rating 1523 vs 1423).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gamle Oslo	Nordstrand
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.7	1.7 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	1.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.42

X5.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:17 +19’	1.42	5.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gamle Oslo 1–2–0 Nordstrand

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Nordstrand	1-2 HT 1-1	Gamle Oslo
28/09/24 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Nordstrand	1-1 HT 1-0	Gamle Oslo
20/04/24 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Gamle Oslo	2-2 HT 2-1	Nordstrand

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	21	18	1	2	74	29	55
2	Heming	22	13	4	5	58	36	43
3	Gamle Oslo	22	13	2	7	69	42	41
4	Valerenga 2	22	13	1	8	52	56	40
5	Baerum	21	11	2	8	61	39	35
6	FK Union Carl Berner	22	11	2	9	40	32	35
7	IF Ready	21	9	6	6	53	42	33
8	Frigg	21	9	6	6	50	45	33
9	Ullern	22	7	2	13	42	58	23
10	Lokomotiv Oslo	22	7	2	13	40	65	23
11	KFUM 2	22	6	3	13	41	64	21
12	Nordstrand	22	6	2	14	36	51	20
13	Grei	22	6	1	15	40	72	19
14	Konnerud	22	5	2	15	34	59	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gamle Oslo	Nordstrand
Frigg	1-1 D	2-3 L
Lokomotiv Oslo	1-4 L	5-0 W
Asker	1-2 L	0-1 L
Valerenga 2	1-2 L	0-3 L
Konnerud	7-1 W	3-2 W
FK Union Carl Berner	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Gamle Oslo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gamle Oslo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
26/09	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	1-4	0	6	L
20/09	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	0	5	L
12/09	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
04/09	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
30/08	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	3-2	6	6	W
15/08	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	5-0	7-1	7	1	W
08/08	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	5-2	12	5	W
31/07	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
25/07	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	3	3	W

Nordstrand

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	0-3	10	4	L
26/09	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
19/09	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	5-0	3	4	W
12/09	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
05/09	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
01/09	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	3-5	7	3	L
17/08	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-3	2-7	4	4	L
08/08	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	2-3	4	4	L
01/08	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	3-2	5	3	W
25/07	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	1-2	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gamle Oslo vs Nordstrand?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gamle Oslo win (63%). Probabilities: Gamle Oslo 63%, draw 18%, Nordstrand 19%.

How many goals are expected in Gamle Oslo vs Nordstrand?

The model expects 4.42 goals (Gamle Oslo 2.84 · Nordstrand 1.58), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gamle Oslo vs Nordstrand?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.