Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: Lokomotiv Oslo vs Konnerud

Team pages: Lokomotiv Oslo · Konnerud

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.28Total

Lokomotiv Oslo2.61

Konnerud1.66

1X2

57% 20% 23%

Lokomotiv Oslo Draw Konnerud

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Lokomotiv Oslo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWWLWL

Konnerud 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLWLLD

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv Oslo 0–1 Konnerud (1 last)

Konnerud4-3Lokomotiv Oslo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lokomotiv Oslo 1487 · Konnerud 1454

	Lokomotiv Oslo	Draw	Konnerud
Our model	58%	19%	23%
Market	57%	20%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 4.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lokomotiv Oslo	Konnerud
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2	1.6 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.2	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	2.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.50

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:57 +22’	1.55	4.50	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Oslo 0–0–1 Konnerud

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Konnerud	4-3 HT 3-1	Lokomotiv Oslo

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	21	18	1	2	74	29	55
2	Heming	22	13	4	5	58	36	43
3	Gamle Oslo	22	13	2	7	69	42	41
4	Valerenga 2	22	13	1	8	52	56	40
5	Baerum	21	11	2	8	61	39	35
6	FK Union Carl Berner	22	11	2	9	40	32	35
7	IF Ready	21	9	6	6	53	42	33
8	Frigg	21	9	6	6	50	45	33
9	Ullern	22	7	2	13	42	58	23
10	Lokomotiv Oslo	22	7	2	13	40	65	23
11	KFUM 2	22	6	3	13	41	64	21
12	Nordstrand	22	6	2	14	36	51	20
13	Grei	22	6	1	15	40	72	19
14	Konnerud	22	5	2	15	34	59	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lokomotiv Oslo	Konnerud
FK Union Carl Berner	1-4 L	2-1 W
Gamle Oslo	4-1 W	1-7 L
Nordstrand	0-5 L	2-3 L
Baerum	5-2 W	1-1 D
KFUM 2	3-0 W	0-1 L
Frigg	2-2 D	0-2 L
Grei	1-0 W	3-2 W
Valerenga 2	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Lokomotiv Oslo (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lokomotiv Oslo

WLWDLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-3	1-4	5	4	L
26/09	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	4-1	0	6	W
19/09	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	0-5	1	4	L
13/09	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	4-1	5-2	4	5	W
07/09	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	3-0	4	7	W
30/08	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-3	2-3	3	5	L
15/08	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
01/08	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	2-3	3	6	L
27/07	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	2-0	5	4	W

Konnerud

LLWLDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	5-5	3	5	D
26/09	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
19/09	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
12/09	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	3-2	11	4	W
05/09	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	7	5	L
30/08	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
15/08	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-5	1-7	1	1	L
07/08	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
01/08	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	2-3	2	3	L
25/07	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	1-3	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Konnerud?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lokomotiv Oslo win (57%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Oslo 57%, draw 20%, Konnerud 23%.

How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Konnerud?

The model expects 4.28 goals (Lokomotiv Oslo 2.61 · Konnerud 1.66), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Konnerud?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.