Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 30/08, 14:00

Prediction: Eidsvold TF vs Grorud

Team pages: Eidsvold TF · Grorud

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Eidsvold TF1.94

Grorud1.39

1X2

50% 23% 27%

Eidsvold TF Draw Grorud

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Eidsvold TF 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Grorud 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Eidsvold TF 0–3–3 Grorud (6 last)

Grorud0-0Eidsvold TF
Grorud4-0Eidsvold TF
Eidsvold TF1-2Grorud
Eidsvold TF2-4Grorud
Grorud2-2Eidsvold TF
Grorud1-1Eidsvold TF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eidsvold TF 1547 · Grorud 1556

	Eidsvold TF	Draw	Grorud
Our model	49%	24%	27%
Market	50%	23%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Grorud: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eidsvold TF	Grorud
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 1.2	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/0/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.4	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.90

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.80▲	Bet365 1.80
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	3.50 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +6’	1.73	4.00	3.50
20:04 +25’	1.80▲	3.90▼	3.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eidsvold TF 0–3–3 Grorud

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	0-0 HT 0-0	Eidsvold TF
05/10/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	4-0 HT 2-0	Eidsvold TF
05/04/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Eidsvold TF	1-2 HT 0-1	Grorud
14/09/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Eidsvold TF	2-4 HT 2-1	Grorud
04/05/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	2-2 HT 1-0	Eidsvold TF
27/02/24 Europe Friendlies	Grorud	1-1 HT 1-0	Eidsvold TF

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	16	12	2	2	41	14	38
2	Kjelsås	16	12	1	3	36	21	37
3	Levanger	16	11	0	5	35	19	33
4	Honefoss	16	10	2	4	44	24	32
5	Grorud	15	8	2	5	24	15	26
6	Lørenskog	16	8	2	6	27	24	26
7	Stjørdals/Blink	16	7	2	7	29	28	23
8	Tromsdalen	15	7	2	6	24	27	23
9	Rana FK	16	6	3	7	30	31	21
10	Junkeren	16	6	2	8	22	28	20
11	Skeid	16	4	1	11	22	34	13
12	Follo	16	2	4	10	19	35	10
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	16	3	1	12	21	54	10
14	Trygg/Lade	16	2	2	12	19	39	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eidsvold TF	Grorud
Lørenskog	7-1 W	0-1 L
Junkeren	4-1 W	3-0 W
Trygg/Lade	2-1 W	1-0 W
Tromsdalen	2-1 W	2-0 W
Honefoss	1-2 L	3-2 W
Levanger	1-3 L	2-3 L
Ullensaker/Kisa	5-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Grorud (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eidsvold TF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-0	7-1	2	1	W
08/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
02/08	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	4-1	4	3	W
26/07	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-1	9	1	W
26/06	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
21/06	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-2	6	5	L
14/06	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
30/05	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	4-0	5	3	W
25/05	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	4-1	11	1	W
15/05	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-0	5-2	4	4	W

Grorud

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
01/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	5-1	4	3	W
25/07	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
27/06	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
21/06	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
13/06	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-2	7	7	L
31/05	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	6	1	W
23/05	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	3-2	3	6	W
14/05	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
10/05	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-3	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eidsvold TF vs Grorud?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eidsvold TF win (50%). Probabilities: Eidsvold TF 50%, draw 23%, Grorud 27%.

How many goals are expected in Eidsvold TF vs Grorud?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Eidsvold TF 1.94 · Grorud 1.39), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Eidsvold TF vs Grorud?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.