Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Ullensaker/Kisa vs Levanger

Team pages: Ullensaker/Kisa · Levanger

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

Ullensaker/Kisa1.12

Levanger2.6

1X2

14% 17% 69%

Ullensaker/Kisa Draw Levanger

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Ullensaker/Kisa 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLDL

Levanger 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLLWW

Head-to-head

Ullensaker/Kisa 0–2–4 Levanger (6 last)

Levanger3-0Ullensaker/Kisa
Levanger1-1Ullensaker/Kisa
Ullensaker/Kisa3-3Levanger
Ullensaker/Kisa0-5Levanger
Levanger2-0Ullensaker/Kisa
Levanger4-0Ullensaker/Kisa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ullensaker/Kisa 1438 · Levanger 1575

	Ullensaker/Kisa	Draw	Levanger
Our model	14%	18%	68%
Market	14%	16%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levanger (rating 1438 vs 1575).
H2H favours Levanger: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ullensaker/Kisa	Levanger
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.8	2.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	3.1 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

16.25

X5.50

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.90

2 (-1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 11:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 6.25▲	Pinn 6.59 ★
X	5.00 → 5.50▲	Pinn 5.54
2	1.36 → 1.30▼	Pinn 1.30

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:46 +1’	5.75	5.00	1.36
09:08 +3’	5.75	5.00	1.33▼
10:10 +2’	6.00▲	5.25▲	1.30▼
11:48 +2’	6.25▲	5.50▲	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:03 +1’	5.67	5.09	1.39
11:00 +50’	6.59▲	5.54▲	1.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ullensaker/Kisa 0–2–4 Levanger

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	3-0 HT 1-0	Ullensaker/Kisa
14/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	1-1 HT 1-1	Ullensaker/Kisa
03/05/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Ullensaker/Kisa	3-3 HT 3-1	Levanger
04/11/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Ullensaker/Kisa	0-5 HT 0-3	Levanger
16/04/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	2-0 HT 0-0	Ullensaker/Kisa
22/10/22 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	4-0 HT 0-0	Ullensaker/Kisa

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	18	13	3	2	44	15	42
2	Kjelsås	18	13	1	4	40	26	40
3	Levanger	17	12	0	5	40	19	36
4	Honefoss	17	11	2	4	46	25	35
5	Grorud	16	8	3	5	24	15	27
6	Lørenskog	17	8	2	7	27	29	26
7	Rana FK	17	7	3	7	32	32	24
8	Stjørdals/Blink	18	7	3	8	32	33	24
9	Tromsdalen	17	7	2	8	25	31	23
10	Junkeren	17	6	3	8	24	30	21
11	Skeid	18	5	2	11	27	36	17
12	Follo	18	3	4	11	21	37	13
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	17	3	1	13	22	56	10
14	Trygg/Lade	17	2	3	12	20	40	9

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ullensaker/Kisa	Levanger
Kjelsås	0-3 L	1-4 L
Follo	2-1 W	2-0 W
Junkeren	0-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Levanger (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ullensaker/Kisa

LWWLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
08/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	1-9	–	–	L
02/08	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
25/07	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
27/06	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	1-3	3	7	L
20/06	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-3	3	1	L
13/06	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	6	7	W
30/05	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
25/05	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-3	7	4	L

Levanger

LWWWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	5-0	5	1	W
16/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-0	5-0	5	2	W
08/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
02/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-3	1-4	7	3	L
25/07	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
28/06	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
20/06	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
14/06	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
31/05	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
25/05	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ullensaker/Kisa vs Levanger?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Levanger win (69%). Probabilities: Ullensaker/Kisa 14%, draw 17%, Levanger 69%.

How many goals are expected in Ullensaker/Kisa vs Levanger?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Ullensaker/Kisa 1.12 · Levanger 2.6), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Ullensaker/Kisa vs Levanger?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.