Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 06/09, 13:00

Prediction: Grorud vs Rana FK

Team pages: Grorud · Rana FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Grorud2.15

Rana FK1.17

1X2

59% 21% 20%

Grorud Draw Rana FK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Grorud 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLLWWD

Rana FK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLLWWDW

Head-to-head

Grorud 2–1–0 Rana FK (3 last)

Rana FK0-0Grorud
Grorud3-0Rana FK
Rana FK0-1Grorud

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grorud 1571 · Rana FK 1532

	Grorud	Draw	Rana FK
Our model	59%	22%	19%
Market	60%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Grorud: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grorud	Rana FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	2.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	1.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.50▲	Bet365 1.50
X	4.60 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33
2	5.50 → 4.50▼	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:30 +4’	1.40	4.60	5.50
19:09 +7’	1.50▲	4.33▼	4.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Grorud 2–1–0 Rana FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Rana FK	0-0 HT 0-0	Grorud
19/10/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	3-0 HT 0-0	Rana FK
11/05/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Rana FK	0-1 HT 0-0	Grorud

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	18	13	3	2	44	15	42
2	Kjelsås	18	13	1	4	40	26	40
3	Levanger	17	12	0	5	40	19	36
4	Honefoss	17	11	2	4	46	25	35
5	Grorud	16	8	3	5	24	15	27
6	Lørenskog	17	8	2	7	27	29	26
7	Rana FK	17	7	3	7	32	32	24
8	Stjørdals/Blink	18	7	3	8	32	33	24
9	Tromsdalen	17	7	2	8	25	31	23
10	Junkeren	17	6	3	8	24	30	21
11	Skeid	18	5	2	11	27	36	17
12	Follo	18	3	4	11	21	37	13
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	17	3	1	13	22	56	10
14	Trygg/Lade	17	2	3	12	20	40	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grorud	Rana FK
Eidsvold TF	0-0 D	1-4 L
Skeid	5-1 W	2-0 W
Stjørdals/Blink	0-1 L	2-4 L
Ullensaker/Kisa	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Grorud (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grorud

WWWLWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
01/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	5-1	4	3	W
25/07	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
27/06	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
21/06	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
13/06	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-2	7	7	L
31/05	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	6	1	W
23/05	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	3-2	3	6	W
14/05	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	3	2	W

Rana FK

LWDWLLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
16/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	3-1	1	6	W
09/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
01/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-4	4	1	L
26/07	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
27/06	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
14/06	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-2	3-3	7	2	D
31/05	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
25/05	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	1-4	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grorud vs Rana FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Grorud win (59%). Probabilities: Grorud 59%, draw 21%, Rana FK 20%.

How many goals are expected in Grorud vs Rana FK?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Grorud 2.15 · Rana FK 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Grorud vs Rana FK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.