Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: Lørenskog vs Junkeren

Team pages: Lørenskog · Junkeren

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.51Total

Lørenskog2.18

Junkeren1.33

1X2

56% 22% 22%

Lørenskog Draw Junkeren

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Lørenskog 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLLLLL

Junkeren 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWLWLD

Head-to-head

Lørenskog 0–1 Junkeren (1 last)

Junkeren1-0Lørenskog

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lørenskog 1454 · Junkeren 1488

	Lørenskog	Draw	Junkeren
Our model	56%	22%	22%
Market	56%	21%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lørenskog	Junkeren
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.6	1.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.20

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:34 +30’	1.60	4.20	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lørenskog 0–0–1 Junkeren

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Junkeren	1-0 HT 0-0	Lørenskog

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	18	13	3	2	44	15	42
2	Kjelsås	18	13	1	4	40	26	40
3	Levanger	17	12	0	5	40	19	36
4	Honefoss	17	11	2	4	46	25	35
5	Grorud	16	8	3	5	24	15	27
6	Lørenskog	17	8	2	7	27	29	26
7	Rana FK	17	7	3	7	32	32	24
8	Stjørdals/Blink	18	7	3	8	32	33	24
9	Tromsdalen	17	7	2	8	25	31	23
10	Junkeren	17	6	3	8	24	30	21
11	Skeid	18	5	2	11	27	36	17
12	Follo	18	3	4	11	21	37	13
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	17	3	1	13	22	56	10
14	Trygg/Lade	17	2	3	12	20	40	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lørenskog	Junkeren
Levanger	0-5 L	0-3 L
Eidsvold TF	1-7 L	1-4 L
Honefoss	1-3 L	4-3 W
Grorud	1-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Junkeren (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lørenskog

WDWWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	0-5	5	1	L
15/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-4	1-7	4	1	L
09/08	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-3	6	3	L
25/07	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	6	8	L
27/06	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	0	2	W
21/06	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	4-1	5	6	W
14/06	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	6-0	5	3	W
31/05	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
25/05	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

Junkeren

WLWLDWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
16/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
08/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	4-1	5	3	W
02/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-4	2	3	L
25/07	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
28/06	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
21/06	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-3	5	3	L
14/06	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-2	4-3	3	1	W
31/05	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-3	0	4	L
25/05	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lørenskog vs Junkeren?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lørenskog win (56%). Probabilities: Lørenskog 56%, draw 22%, Junkeren 22%.

How many goals are expected in Lørenskog vs Junkeren?

The model expects 3.51 goals (Lørenskog 2.18 · Junkeren 1.33), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lørenskog vs Junkeren?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.