Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 30/08, 15:00

Prediction: Junkeren vs Stjørdals/Blink

Team pages: Junkeren · Stjørdals/Blink

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Junkeren1.57

Stjørdals/Blink1.93

1X2

31% 23% 46%

Junkeren Draw Stjørdals/Blink

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Junkeren 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDWLWL

Stjørdals/Blink 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Junkeren 2–1–3 Stjørdals/Blink (6 last)

Stjørdals/Blink1-1Junkeren
Stjørdals/Blink4-0Junkeren
Junkeren0-3Stjørdals/Blink
Junkeren0-2Stjørdals/Blink
Stjørdals/Blink1-4Junkeren
Junkeren4-0Stjørdals/Blink

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Junkeren 1493 · Stjørdals/Blink 1583

	Junkeren	Draw	Stjørdals/Blink
Our model	31%	24%	45%
Market	31%	23%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stjørdals/Blink (rating 1493 vs 1583).
H2H favours Stjørdals/Blink: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Junkeren	Stjørdals/Blink
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	1.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.90

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.91
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.05 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:15 +8’	2.88	3.90	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:58 +25’	2.83	3.91	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Junkeren 2–1–3 Stjørdals/Blink

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	1-1 HT 0-1	Junkeren
19/10/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	4-0 HT 1-0	Junkeren
28/04/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Junkeren	0-3 HT 0-1	Stjørdals/Blink
11/11/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Junkeren	0-2 HT 0-1	Stjørdals/Blink
23/07/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	1-4 HT 0-3	Junkeren
08/10/17 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Junkeren	4-0 HT 1-0	Stjørdals/Blink

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	16	12	2	2	41	14	38
2	Kjelsås	16	12	1	3	36	21	37
3	Levanger	16	11	0	5	35	19	33
4	Honefoss	16	10	2	4	44	24	32
5	Grorud	15	8	2	5	24	15	26
6	Lørenskog	16	8	2	6	27	24	26
7	Stjørdals/Blink	16	7	2	7	29	28	23
8	Tromsdalen	15	7	2	6	24	27	23
9	Rana FK	16	6	3	7	30	31	21
10	Junkeren	16	6	2	8	22	28	20
11	Skeid	16	4	1	11	22	34	13
12	Follo	16	2	4	10	19	35	10
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	16	3	1	12	21	54	10
14	Trygg/Lade	16	2	2	12	19	39	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Junkeren	Stjørdals/Blink
Kjelsås	0-2 L	1-1 D
Grorud	0-3 L	1-0 W
Honefoss	4-3 W	4-2 W
Levanger	0-3 L	2-1 W
Rana FK	2-1 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Stjørdals/Blink (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Junkeren

WWLWLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
08/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	4-1	5	3	W
02/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-4	2	3	L
25/07	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
28/06	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
21/06	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-3	5	3	L
14/06	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-2	4-3	3	1	W
31/05	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-3	0	4	L
25/05	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	2	4	W
16/05	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	4	7	W

Stjørdals/Blink

LDLWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	4-2	2	2	W
08/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	0	2	W
01/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	4-2	7	1	W
25/07	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
28/06	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
20/06	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	4-2	3	1	W
14/06	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	10	2	W
31/05	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
23/05	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
14/05	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-3	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Junkeren vs Stjørdals/Blink?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stjørdals/Blink win (46%). Probabilities: Junkeren 31%, draw 23%, Stjørdals/Blink 46%.

How many goals are expected in Junkeren vs Stjørdals/Blink?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Junkeren 1.57 · Stjørdals/Blink 1.93), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Junkeren vs Stjørdals/Blink?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.