Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 11/09, 19:00
Prediction: Eidsvold TF vs Ullensaker/Kisa
Team pages: Eidsvold TF · Ullensaker/Kisa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.3Total
Eidsvold TF3.15
Ullensaker/Kisa1.15
1X2
Eidsvold TF
Draw
Ullensaker/Kisa
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Eidsvold TF
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Ullensaker/Kisa
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eidsvold TF
4–2
Ullensaker/Kisa
(6 last)
- Ullensaker/Kisa2-5Eidsvold TF
- Eidsvold TF0-3Ullensaker/Kisa
- Ullensaker/Kisa2-3Eidsvold TF
- Eidsvold TF1-0Ullensaker/Kisa
- Ullensaker/Kisa4-3Eidsvold TF
- Ullensaker/Kisa1-2Eidsvold TF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eidsvold TF 1550 · Ullensaker/Kisa 1425
| Eidsvold TF | Draw | Ullensaker/Kisa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 84% | 10% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.3 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eidsvold TF (rating 1550 vs 1425).
- H2H favours Eidsvold TF: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eidsvold TF | Ullensaker/Kisa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1 | 0.9 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.4 | 1.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eidsvold TF 4–0–2 Ullensaker/Kisa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Ullensaker/Kisa | 2-5 HT 0-4 | Eidsvold TF |
| 25/10/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Eidsvold TF | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Ullensaker/Kisa |
| 29/03/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Ullensaker/Kisa | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Eidsvold TF |
| 28/09/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Eidsvold TF | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ullensaker/Kisa |
| 20/07/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Ullensaker/Kisa | 4-3 HT 2-1 | Eidsvold TF |
| 03/02/24 Europe Friendlies | Ullensaker/Kisa | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Eidsvold TF |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold TF | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 15 | 42 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Levanger | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 19 | 39 |
| 4 | Honefoss | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 27 | 38 |
| 5 | Grorud | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 30 |
| 6 | Lørenskog | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 30 | 27 |
| 7 | Stjørdals/Blink | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 33 | 24 |
| 8 | Rana FK | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 36 | 24 |
| 9 | Tromsdalen | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 23 |
| 10 | Junkeren | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 22 |
| 11 | Skeid | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 36 | 17 |
| 12 | Follo | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 13 |
| 13 | Ullensaker/Kisa | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 61 | 10 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 43 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eidsvold TF | Ullensaker/Kisa |
|---|---|---|
| Grorud | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Kjelsås | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Trygg/Lade | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Tromsdalen | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Honefoss | 1-2 L | 1-9 L |
| Levanger | 1-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Eidsvold TF (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eidsvold TF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
4-0 | 7-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Ullensaker/Kisa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-3 | 1-9 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eidsvold TF vs Ullensaker/Kisa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Eidsvold TF win (80%). Probabilities: Eidsvold TF 80%, draw 12%, Ullensaker/Kisa 8%.
How many goals are expected in Eidsvold TF vs Ullensaker/Kisa?
The model expects 4.3 goals (Eidsvold TF 3.15 · Ullensaker/Kisa 1.15), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Eidsvold TF vs Ullensaker/Kisa?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.