Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 30/08, 15:00

Prediction: Levanger vs Lørenskog

Team pages: Levanger · Lørenskog

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Levanger2.13

Lørenskog1.13

1X2

60% 22% 19%

Levanger Draw Lørenskog

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Levanger 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWLLW

Lørenskog 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Levanger 0–1 Lørenskog (1 last)

Lørenskog1-0Levanger

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levanger 1587 · Lørenskog 1475

	Levanger	Draw	Lørenskog
Our model	59%	22%	18%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levanger (rating 1587 vs 1475).
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Levanger	Lørenskog
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.4	2.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.42 ★
2	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 4.97

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:20 +3’	1.50	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:58 +25’	1.50	4.42	4.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Levanger 0–0–1 Lørenskog

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Lørenskog	1-0 HT 0-0	Levanger

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	16	12	2	2	41	14	38
2	Kjelsås	16	12	1	3	36	21	37
3	Levanger	16	11	0	5	35	19	33
4	Honefoss	16	10	2	4	44	24	32
5	Grorud	15	8	2	5	24	15	26
6	Lørenskog	16	8	2	6	27	24	26
7	Stjørdals/Blink	16	7	2	7	29	28	23
8	Tromsdalen	15	7	2	6	24	27	23
9	Rana FK	16	6	3	7	30	31	21
10	Junkeren	16	6	2	8	22	28	20
11	Skeid	16	4	1	11	22	34	13
12	Follo	16	2	4	10	19	35	10
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	16	3	1	12	21	54	10
14	Trygg/Lade	16	2	2	12	19	39	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Levanger	Lørenskog
Follo	2-0 W	1-0 W
Eidsvold TF	3-1 W	1-7 L
Junkeren	3-0 W	0-1 L
Trygg/Lade	3-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Levanger (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Levanger

WLWWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-0	5-0	5	2	W
08/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
02/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-3	1-4	7	3	L
25/07	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
28/06	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
20/06	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
14/06	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
31/05	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
25/05	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
16/05	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W

Lørenskog

WWDWWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-4	1-7	4	1	L
09/08	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-3	6	3	L
25/07	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	6	8	L
27/06	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	0	2	W
21/06	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	4-1	5	6	W
14/06	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	6-0	5	3	W
31/05	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
25/05	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
16/05	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levanger vs Lørenskog?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Levanger win (60%). Probabilities: Levanger 60%, draw 22%, Lørenskog 19%.

How many goals are expected in Levanger vs Lørenskog?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Levanger 2.13 · Lørenskog 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Levanger vs Lørenskog?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.