Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 12/09, 14:00
Prediction: Honefoss vs Grorud
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.52Total
Honefoss1.92
Grorud1.6
1X2
Honefoss
Draw
Grorud
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Honefoss
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Grorud
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Honefoss
0–1–5
Grorud
(6 last)
- Grorud3-2Honefoss
- Honefoss1-1Grorud
- Grorud5-1Honefoss
- Grorud4-0Honefoss
- Honefoss1-2Grorud
- Honefoss1-2Grorud
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Honefoss 1569 · Grorud 1561
| Honefoss | Draw | Grorud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 23% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Grorud: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Honefoss | Grorud | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.4 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Honefoss 0–1–5 Grorud
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Grorud | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Honefoss |
| 13/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Honefoss | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Grorud |
| 17/04/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Grorud | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Honefoss |
| 15/07/18 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Grorud | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Honefoss |
| 15/04/18 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Honefoss | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Grorud |
| 07/05/14 Norway Cup | Honefoss | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Grorud |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold TF | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 15 | 42 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Levanger | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 19 | 39 |
| 4 | Honefoss | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 27 | 38 |
| 5 | Grorud | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 30 |
| 6 | Lørenskog | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 30 | 27 |
| 7 | Stjørdals/Blink | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 33 | 24 |
| 8 | Rana FK | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 36 | 24 |
| 9 | Tromsdalen | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 23 |
| 10 | Junkeren | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 22 |
| 11 | Skeid | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 36 | 17 |
| 12 | Follo | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 13 |
| 13 | Ullensaker/Kisa | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 61 | 10 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 43 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Honefoss | Grorud |
|---|---|---|
| Trygg/Lade | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Stjørdals/Blink | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Ullensaker/Kisa | 9-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Lørenskog | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Skeid | 3-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Eidsvold TF | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Junkeren | 3-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Honefoss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-0 | 9-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Grorud
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
4-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Honefoss vs Grorud?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Honefoss win (45%). Probabilities: Honefoss 45%, draw 23%, Grorud 32%.
How many goals are expected in Honefoss vs Grorud?
The model expects 3.52 goals (Honefoss 1.92 · Grorud 1.6), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Honefoss vs Grorud?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.