Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 13/09, 14:00

Prediction: Tromsdalen vs Trygg/Lade

Team pages: Tromsdalen · Trygg/Lade

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Tromsdalen2.17

Trygg/Lade1.31

1X2

56% 22% 22%

Tromsdalen Draw Trygg/Lade

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Tromsdalen 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDWWLL

Trygg/Lade 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLDDL

Head-to-head

Tromsdalen 1–0 Trygg/Lade (1 last)

Trygg/Lade1-2Tromsdalen

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tromsdalen (rating 1512 vs 1438).
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tromsdalen	Trygg/Lade
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	1.1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.4	1.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50
X	4.55 → 4.55	Pinn 4.55
2	4.83 → 4.83	Pinn 4.83

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:08 +18’	1.50	4.55	4.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tromsdalen 1–0–0 Trygg/Lade

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Trygg/Lade	1-2 HT 0-2	Tromsdalen

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	19	14	3	2	47	16	45
2	Kjelsås	18	13	1	4	40	26	40
3	Levanger	18	13	0	5	45	19	39
4	Honefoss	18	12	2	4	49	27	38
5	Grorud	17	9	3	5	28	17	30
6	Lørenskog	18	8	3	7	28	30	27
7	Stjørdals/Blink	18	7	3	8	32	33	24
8	Rana FK	18	7	3	8	34	36	24
9	Tromsdalen	17	7	2	8	25	31	23
10	Junkeren	18	6	4	8	25	31	22
11	Skeid	18	5	2	11	27	36	17
12	Follo	18	3	4	11	21	37	13
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	19	3	1	15	23	64	10
14	Trygg/Lade	18	2	3	13	22	43	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tromsdalen	Trygg/Lade
Follo	0-1 L	2-1 W
Lørenskog	2-0 W	1-4 L
Ullensaker/Kisa	2-1 W	1-1 D
Eidsvold TF	1-2 L	1-2 L
Stjørdals/Blink	2-4 L	1-2 L
Skeid	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tromsdalen (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tromsdalen

WWLLLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
30/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
09/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/06	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
20/06	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-3	2-4	2	1	L
14/06	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-6	4	3	L
31/05	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/05	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	2-1	10	5	W

Trygg/Lade

LLLLLWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	2-3	7	3	L
30/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
16/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
08/08	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
02/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	10	2	W
26/07	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-2	2	1	L
28/06	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-7	1	2	L
21/06	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-4	8	6	L
14/06	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
31/05	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-2	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tromsdalen vs Trygg/Lade?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tromsdalen win (56%). Probabilities: Tromsdalen 56%, draw 22%, Trygg/Lade 22%.

How many goals are expected in Tromsdalen vs Trygg/Lade?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Tromsdalen 2.17 · Trygg/Lade 1.31), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tromsdalen vs Trygg/Lade?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.