Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 13/09, 14:30

Prediction: Kjelsås vs Stjørdals/Blink

Team pages: Kjelsås · Stjørdals/Blink

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Kjelsås2.38

Stjørdals/Blink0.99

1X2

68% 19% 14%

Kjelsås Draw Stjørdals/Blink

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kjelsås 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLWWL

Stjørdals/Blink 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWWWDL

Head-to-head

Kjelsås 2–3–1 Stjørdals/Blink (6 last)

Stjørdals/Blink1-1Kjelsås
Stjørdals/Blink1-2Kjelsås
Kjelsås1-2Stjørdals/Blink
Stjørdals/Blink2-2Kjelsås
Kjelsås2-1Stjørdals/Blink
Kjelsås1-1Stjørdals/Blink

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kjelsås 1555 · Stjørdals/Blink 1554

	Kjelsås	Draw	Stjørdals/Blink
Our model	67%	19%	13%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kjelsås: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kjelsås	Stjørdals/Blink
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.9	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.33▼	Pinn 1.40 ★
X	4.50 → 5.00▲	Pinn 5.18
2	5.25 → 6.50▲	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +9’	1.44	4.50	5.25
20:55 +16’	1.33▼	5.00▲	6.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:51 +80’	1.38	5.24	5.63
01:42 +126’	1.40▲	5.18▼	5.48▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kjelsås 2–3–1 Stjørdals/Blink

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	1-1 HT 1-0	Kjelsås
19/10/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	1-2 HT 0-1	Kjelsås
06/04/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Kjelsås	1-2 HT 1-1	Stjørdals/Blink
29/09/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	2-2 HT 1-2	Kjelsås
21/07/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Kjelsås	2-1 HT 0-1	Stjørdals/Blink
01/09/18 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Kjelsås	1-1 HT 1-0	Stjørdals/Blink

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	19	14	3	2	47	16	45
2	Kjelsås	18	13	1	4	40	26	40
3	Levanger	18	13	0	5	45	19	39
4	Honefoss	18	12	2	4	49	27	38
5	Grorud	17	9	3	5	28	17	30
6	Lørenskog	18	8	3	7	28	30	27
7	Stjørdals/Blink	18	7	3	8	32	33	24
8	Rana FK	18	7	3	8	34	36	24
9	Tromsdalen	17	7	2	8	25	31	23
10	Junkeren	18	6	4	8	25	31	22
11	Skeid	18	5	2	11	27	36	17
12	Follo	18	3	4	11	21	37	13
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	19	3	1	15	23	64	10
14	Trygg/Lade	18	2	3	13	22	43	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kjelsås	Stjørdals/Blink
Tromsdalen	3-1 W	4-2 W
Junkeren	2-0 W	2-2 D
Eidsvold TF	0-1 L	1-3 L
Levanger	4-1 W	2-1 W
Rana FK	3-2 W	4-2 W
Honefoss	1-3 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kjelsås (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kjelsås

LWWLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-4	5	5	L
30/08	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
16/08	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
08/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	4-1	5	3	W
26/07	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
27/06	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
20/06	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	3-0	2	1	W
12/06	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	4-1	1	2	W
30/05	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-4	4	3	L

Stjørdals/Blink

LWWDWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	1-3	1	1	L
30/08	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	2-2	7	1	D
16/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	4-2	2	2	W
08/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	0	2	W
01/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	4-2	7	1	W
25/07	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
28/06	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
20/06	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	4-2	3	1	W
14/06	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	10	2	W
31/05	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kjelsås vs Stjørdals/Blink?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kjelsås win (68%). Probabilities: Kjelsås 68%, draw 19%, Stjørdals/Blink 14%.

How many goals are expected in Kjelsås vs Stjørdals/Blink?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Kjelsås 2.38 · Stjørdals/Blink 0.99), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kjelsås vs Stjørdals/Blink?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.