Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: Grorud vs Lørenskog

Team pages: Grorud · Lørenskog

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Grorud2.32

Lørenskog0.98

1X2

67% 19% 14%

Grorud Draw Lørenskog

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Grorud 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWDWDWWW

Lørenskog 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDWLW

Head-to-head

Grorud 0–1 Lørenskog (1 last)

Lørenskog1-0Grorud

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grorud 1583 · Lørenskog 1449

	Grorud	Draw	Lørenskog
Our model	66%	20%	14%
Market	67%	19%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grorud (rating 1583 vs 1449).
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grorud	Lørenskog
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.8	0.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.4	2.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

26.25

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.44 ★
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:11 +10’	1.33	4.75	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +10’	1.44	4.71	5.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Grorud 0–0–1 Lørenskog

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Lørenskog	1-0 HT 1-0	Grorud

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	20	15	3	2	48	16	48
2	Levanger	20	15	0	5	51	21	45
3	Kjelsås	21	14	2	5	49	31	44
4	Honefoss	20	13	3	4	51	28	42
5	Grorud	20	11	4	5	34	20	37
6	Stjørdals/Blink	21	9	3	9	37	38	30
7	Lørenskog	20	9	3	8	29	32	30
8	Tromsdalen	20	9	2	9	34	34	29
9	Junkeren	21	8	4	9	29	35	28
10	Rana FK	21	8	3	10	36	38	27
11	Skeid	20	5	2	13	27	43	17
12	Follo	21	3	5	13	25	45	14
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	21	3	1	17	25	70	10
14	Trygg/Lade	20	2	3	15	23	47	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grorud	Lørenskog
Levanger	2-0 W	0-5 L
Tromsdalen	2-0 W	0-2 L
Honefoss	1-1 D	1-3 L
Rana FK	4-2 W	1-0 W
Eidsvold TF	0-0 D	1-7 L
Skeid	5-1 W	4-1 W
Stjørdals/Blink	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Grorud (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grorud

LLWWDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
20/09	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	3-2	10	7	W
16/09	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
12/09	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
06/09	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-1	4-2	6	3	W
30/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
01/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	5-1	4	3	W
25/07	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
27/06	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	6	2	L

Lørenskog

WLLLLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
20/09	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
13/09	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
30/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	0-5	5	1	L
15/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-4	1-7	4	1	L
09/08	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-3	6	3	L
25/07	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
27/06	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	0	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grorud vs Lørenskog?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Grorud win (67%). Probabilities: Grorud 67%, draw 19%, Lørenskog 14%.

How many goals are expected in Grorud vs Lørenskog?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Grorud 2.32 · Lørenskog 0.98), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Grorud vs Lørenskog?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.