Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Eidsvold TF vs Skeid

Team pages: Eidsvold TF · Skeid

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.94Total

Eidsvold TF2.78

Skeid1.16

1X2

71% 17% 13%

Eidsvold TF Draw Skeid

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Eidsvold TF 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWWWWL

Skeid 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLLLW

Head-to-head

Eidsvold TF 1–1–4 Skeid (6 last)

Skeid1-2Eidsvold TF
Eidsvold TF0-0Skeid
Skeid6-1Eidsvold TF
Skeid5-4Eidsvold TF
Skeid2-1Eidsvold TF
Skeid2-0Eidsvold TF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eidsvold TF 1558 · Skeid 1426

	Eidsvold TF	Draw	Skeid
Our model	71%	17%	13%
Market	71%	16%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eidsvold TF (rating 1558 vs 1426).
H2H favours Skeid: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eidsvold TF	Skeid
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.8	1.2 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6.2	1.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.27

X5.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.93

2 (+1.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.27▼	Bet365 1.27
X	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 5.96
2	6.00 → 7.00▲	Pinn 8.08 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
22:29 +6’	1.30	5.50	6.00
00:57 +12’	1.27▼	5.50	7.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:00 +58’	1.27	5.73	7.31
22:25 +10’	1.26▼	5.78▲	7.77▲
06:33 +5’	1.26▼	5.79▲	7.78▲
12:04 +45’	1.26▲	5.96▲	8.08▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eidsvold TF 1–1–4 Skeid

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Skeid	1-2 HT 1-1	Eidsvold TF
27/07/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Eidsvold TF	0-0 HT 0-0	Skeid
02/06/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Skeid	6-1 HT 2-0	Eidsvold TF
17/02/24 Europe Friendlies	Skeid	5-4 HT 1-3	Eidsvold TF
14/06/21 Europe Friendlies	Skeid	2-1 HT 1-1	Eidsvold TF
08/08/20 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Skeid	2-0 HT 2-0	Eidsvold TF

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	22	16	3	3	53	19	51
2	Kjelsås	22	15	2	5	51	32	47
3	Levanger	22	15	0	7	53	27	45
4	Honefoss	22	14	3	5	56	33	45
5	Grorud	22	13	4	5	40	20	43
6	Stjørdals/Blink	22	10	3	9	38	38	33
7	Lørenskog	22	10	3	9	33	37	33
8	Tromsdalen	22	10	2	10	39	38	32
9	Junkeren	22	9	4	9	31	36	31
10	Rana FK	22	9	3	10	38	39	30
11	Skeid	22	6	2	14	32	50	20
12	Follo	22	3	5	14	25	46	14
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	22	3	1	18	26	72	10
14	Trygg/Lade	22	2	3	17	25	53	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eidsvold TF	Skeid
Rana FK	1-2 L	0-2 L
Trygg/Lade	4-1 W	1-1 D
Grorud	0-0 D	1-5 L
Lørenskog	7-1 W	1-4 L
Kjelsås	1-0 W	4-1 W
Junkeren	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Eidsvold TF (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eidsvold TF

WWWWDWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
27/09	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	4-1	8	0	W
19/09	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
11/09	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	3-1	5	2	W
05/09	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-1	9	1	W
30/08	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-0	7-1	2	2	W
08/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
02/08	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	4-1	4	3	W
26/07	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-1	9	1	W

Skeid

LLLLDWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	4-3	1	3	W
27/09	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-4	6	5	L
20/09	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
13/09	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
05/09	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	4-1	4	5	W
30/08	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
16/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-4	0-5	5	2	L
09/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-3	1-5	3	3	L
25/07	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-3	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eidsvold TF vs Skeid?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eidsvold TF win (71%). Probabilities: Eidsvold TF 71%, draw 17%, Skeid 13%.

How many goals are expected in Eidsvold TF vs Skeid?

The model expects 3.94 goals (Eidsvold TF 2.78 · Skeid 1.16), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Eidsvold TF vs Skeid?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.