Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 11/10, 13:00

Prediction: Kjelsås vs Rana FK

Team pages: Kjelsås · Rana FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

Kjelsås2.62

Rana FK1.2

1X2

67% 18% 15%

Kjelsås Draw Rana FK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Kjelsås 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWLDW

Rana FK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDWLLLWW

Head-to-head

Kjelsås 2–1–0 Rana FK (3 last)

Rana FK2-3Kjelsås
Rana FK0-3Kjelsås
Kjelsås2-2Rana FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kjelsås 1538 · Rana FK 1500

	Kjelsås	Draw	Rana FK
Our model	67%	18%	15%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kjelsås: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kjelsås	Rana FK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.5	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	1 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2.3 / 1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.33▼	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.34
2	5.00 → 6.00▲	Pinn 7.64 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:55 +19’	1.40	5.00	5.00
01:52 +17’	1.33▼	5.00	6.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:14	1.29	5.34	7.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kjelsås 2–1–0 Rana FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Rana FK	2-3 HT 1-1	Kjelsås
07/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Rana FK	0-3 HT 0-2	Kjelsås
08/06/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Kjelsås	2-2 HT 1-1	Rana FK

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	22	16	3	3	53	19	51
2	Kjelsås	22	15	2	5	51	32	47
3	Levanger	22	15	0	7	53	27	45
4	Honefoss	22	14	3	5	56	33	45
5	Grorud	22	13	4	5	40	20	43
6	Stjørdals/Blink	22	10	3	9	38	38	33
7	Lørenskog	22	10	3	9	33	37	33
8	Tromsdalen	22	10	2	10	39	38	32
9	Junkeren	22	9	4	9	31	36	31
10	Rana FK	22	9	3	10	38	39	30
11	Skeid	22	6	2	14	32	50	20
12	Follo	22	3	5	14	25	46	14
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	22	3	1	18	26	72	10
14	Trygg/Lade	22	2	3	17	25	53	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kjelsås	Rana FK
Ullensaker/Kisa	2-1 W	2-1 W
Follo	2-2 D	3-3 D
Grorud	2-3 L	2-4 L
Stjørdals/Blink	5-0 W	2-4 L
Skeid	1-4 L	2-0 W
Junkeren	2-0 W	2-0 W
Eidsvold TF	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kjelsås

WWLWWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
26/09	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-2	7	2	D
20/09	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	2-3	7	7	L
13/09	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	5-0	3	3	W
05/09	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-4	5	5	L
30/08	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
16/08	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
08/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	4-1	5	3	W
26/07	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-2	–	–	W

Rana FK

LWWDWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-4	2-4	2	3	L
30/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
16/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	3-1	1	6	W
09/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
01/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-4	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kjelsås vs Rana FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kjelsås win (67%). Probabilities: Kjelsås 67%, draw 18%, Rana FK 15%.

How many goals are expected in Kjelsås vs Rana FK?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Kjelsås 2.62 · Rana FK 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kjelsås vs Rana FK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.