Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 11/10, 13:00

Prediction: Stjørdals/Blink vs Tromsdalen

Team pages: Stjørdals/Blink · Tromsdalen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Stjørdals/Blink1.8

Tromsdalen1.66

1X2

41% 23% 35%

Stjørdals/Blink Draw Tromsdalen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Stjørdals/Blink 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLLWWW

Tromsdalen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Stjørdals/Blink 1–2–3 Tromsdalen (6 last)

Tromsdalen2-4Stjørdals/Blink
Tromsdalen3-1Stjørdals/Blink
Stjørdals/Blink1-1Tromsdalen
Tromsdalen4-1Stjørdals/Blink
Stjørdals/Blink2-3Tromsdalen
Stjørdals/Blink1-1Tromsdalen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stjørdals/Blink 1559 · Tromsdalen 1539

	Stjørdals/Blink	Draw	Tromsdalen
Our model	41%	24%	35%
Market	42%	22%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tromsdalen: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stjørdals/Blink	Tromsdalen
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	1.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.15

X4.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15
X	3.90 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	2.35 → 2.50▲	Pinn 2.89 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:44 +6’	2.30	3.90	2.35
07:48 +17’	2.15▼	4.00▲	2.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +156’	2.43	3.60	2.49
22:49 +7’	2.16▼	3.91▲	2.69▲
01:54 +64’	2.19▲	3.94▲	2.62▼
11:00 +8’	2.08▼	4.01▲	2.87▲
12:01 +14’	2.10▲	3.93▼	2.89▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stjørdals/Blink 1–2–3 Tromsdalen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Tromsdalen	2-4 HT 1-3	Stjørdals/Blink
10/08/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Tromsdalen	3-1 HT 2-0	Stjørdals/Blink
18/07/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	1-1 HT 1-0	Tromsdalen
26/10/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Tromsdalen	4-1 HT 1-0	Stjørdals/Blink
04/05/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	2-3 HT 2-0	Tromsdalen
17/09/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Stjørdals/Blink	1-1 HT 0-1	Tromsdalen

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	23	17	3	3	55	20	54
2	Kjelsås	22	15	2	5	51	32	47
3	Levanger	22	15	0	7	53	27	45
4	Honefoss	22	14	3	5	56	33	45
5	Grorud	22	13	4	5	40	20	43
6	Stjørdals/Blink	22	10	3	9	38	38	33
7	Lørenskog	22	10	3	9	33	37	33
8	Tromsdalen	22	10	2	10	39	38	32
9	Junkeren	22	9	4	9	31	36	31
10	Rana FK	22	9	3	10	38	39	30
11	Skeid	23	6	2	15	33	52	20
12	Follo	23	3	5	15	27	50	14
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	23	4	1	18	30	74	13
14	Trygg/Lade	22	2	3	17	25	53	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stjørdals/Blink	Tromsdalen
Follo	1-0 W	0-1 L
Ullensaker/Kisa	3-0 W	2-1 W
Lørenskog	2-0 W	2-0 W
Kjelsås	0-5 L	1-3 L
Honefoss	4-2 W	1-2 L
Levanger	2-1 W	4-2 W
Grorud	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Stjørdals/Blink (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stjørdals/Blink

WWWWDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
26/09	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
20/09	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
13/09	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-5	3	3	L
05/09	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	1-3	1	1	L
30/08	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	2-2	7	1	D
16/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	4-2	2	2	W
08/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	0	2	W
01/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	4-2	7	1	W
25/07	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W

Tromsdalen

DWWLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
27/09	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-2	2	8	L
20/09	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
16/09	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
13/09	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
30/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
09/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stjørdals/Blink vs Tromsdalen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stjørdals/Blink win (41%). Probabilities: Stjørdals/Blink 41%, draw 23%, Tromsdalen 35%.

How many goals are expected in Stjørdals/Blink vs Tromsdalen?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Stjørdals/Blink 1.8 · Tromsdalen 1.66), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stjørdals/Blink vs Tromsdalen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.