Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 11/10, 15:30

Prediction: Levanger vs Honefoss

Team pages: Levanger · Honefoss

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

Levanger2.2

Honefoss1.6

1X2

51% 22% 27%

Levanger Draw Honefoss

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Levanger 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWLL

Honefoss 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWDWWL

Head-to-head

Levanger 2–3 Honefoss (5 last)

Honefoss0-1Levanger
Honefoss2-0Levanger
Levanger4-0Honefoss
Honefoss3-0Levanger
Levanger0-1Honefoss

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levanger 1534 · Honefoss 1538

	Levanger	Draw	Honefoss
Our model	51%	22%	27%
Market	51%	22%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Honefoss: 3-0-2.
High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Levanger	Honefoss
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.4	2.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 7.4	4.6 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.10

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.75▼	Pinn 1.83
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.10 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.45 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:38 +10’	1.83	4.10	3.10
11:31 +6’	1.75▼	4.10	3.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:17 +31’	2.05	3.83	2.91
07:08 +75’	2.03▼	3.85▲	2.96▲
11:27 +11’	2.03	3.83▼	2.96
15:31 +83’	1.83▼	3.90▲	3.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Levanger 2–0–3 Honefoss

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Honefoss	0-1 HT 0-1	Levanger
10/08/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Honefoss	2-0 HT 0-0	Levanger
19/07/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	4-0 HT 1-0	Honefoss
20/09/15 Norway Division 1	Honefoss	3-0 HT 1-0	Levanger
07/06/15 Norway Division 1	Levanger	0-1 HT 0-1	Honefoss

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	22	16	3	3	53	19	51
2	Kjelsås	22	15	2	5	51	32	47
3	Levanger	22	15	0	7	53	27	45
4	Honefoss	22	14	3	5	56	33	45
5	Grorud	22	13	4	5	40	20	43
6	Stjørdals/Blink	22	10	3	9	38	38	33
7	Lørenskog	22	10	3	9	33	37	33
8	Tromsdalen	22	10	2	10	39	38	32
9	Junkeren	22	9	4	9	31	36	31
10	Rana FK	22	9	3	10	38	39	30
11	Skeid	22	6	2	14	32	50	20
12	Follo	22	3	5	14	25	46	14
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	22	3	1	18	26	72	10
14	Trygg/Lade	22	2	3	17	25	53	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Levanger	Honefoss
Tromsdalen	2-4 L	2-1 W
Grorud	0-2 L	1-1 D
Trygg/Lade	1-0 W	3-2 W
Follo	5-2 W	2-1 W
Ullensaker/Kisa	5-0 W	9-1 W
Lørenskog	5-0 W	3-1 W
Skeid	5-0 W	3-4 L
Stjørdals/Blink	1-2 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Levanger (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Levanger

WLLWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
27/09	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
20/09	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	13	4	W
12/09	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	5-2	5	1	W
06/09	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	5-0	8	3	W
30/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	5-0	5	1	W
16/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-0	5-0	5	2	W
08/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
02/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-3	1-4	7	3	L
25/07	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	7	3	W

Honefoss

WWWLWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	3-4	8	3	L
27/09	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-1	5	8	W
19/09	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
06/09	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-2	4	3	W
30/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
16/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-4	7	2	L
08/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	9-1	–	–	W
01/08	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-1	9	3	W
25/07	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	3-1	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levanger vs Honefoss?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Levanger win (51%). Probabilities: Levanger 51%, draw 22%, Honefoss 27%.

How many goals are expected in Levanger vs Honefoss?

The model expects 3.8 goals (Levanger 2.2 · Honefoss 1.6), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Levanger vs Honefoss?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.