Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 16/08, 07:45
Prediction: Taringa Rovers vs Samford Rangers
Team pages: Taringa Rovers · Samford Rangers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.13Total
Taringa Rovers2.65
Samford Rangers1.49
1X2
Taringa Rovers
Draw
Samford Rangers
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Taringa Rovers
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Samford Rangers
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Taringa Rovers
3–1–2
Samford Rangers
(6 last)
- Samford Rangers1-5Taringa Rovers
- Samford Rangers1-4Taringa Rovers
- Taringa Rovers2-3Samford Rangers
- Samford Rangers2-1Taringa Rovers
- Taringa Rovers3-2Samford Rangers
- Taringa Rovers1-1Samford Rangers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taringa Rovers 1481 · Samford Rangers 1404
| Taringa Rovers | Draw | Samford Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| Market | 62% | 18% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.13 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taringa Rovers (rating 1481 vs 1404).
- H2H favours Taringa Rovers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Taringa Rovers | Samford Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 1 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.6 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taringa Rovers 3–1–2 Samford Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Samford Rangers | 1-5 HT 0-3 | Taringa Rovers |
| 19/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Samford Rangers | 1-4 HT 0-4 | Taringa Rovers |
| 13/04/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Taringa Rovers | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Samford Rangers |
| 14/06/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Samford Rangers | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Taringa Rovers |
| 17/03/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Taringa Rovers | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Samford Rangers |
| 30/07/23 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Taringa Rovers | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Samford Rangers |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SWQ Thunder | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 50 | 25 | 42 |
| 2 | Grange Thistle | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 41 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 35 |
| 4 | Pine Hills | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
| 5 | Souths United | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 31 |
| 6 | Caloundra | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 50 | 29 |
| 7 | Virginia United | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 31 | 29 |
| 8 | Taringa Rovers | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 42 | 28 |
| 9 | Brisbane Knights | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 48 | 28 |
| 10 | Mitchelton FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 27 |
| 11 | Southside Eagles | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 45 | 25 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 61 | 12 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Taringa Rovers | Samford Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Souths United | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Caloundra | 2-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Pine Hills | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior B | 0-5 L | 2-8 L |
| Brisbane Knights | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Virginia United | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Grange Thistle | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Mitchelton FC | 2-5 L | 1-1 D |
| SWQ Thunder | 0-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Southside Eagles | 1-3 L | 1-7 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 6 L | 1 W 2 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Taringa Rovers (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taringa Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
Samford Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-4 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/07 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-4 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 09/06 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taringa Rovers vs Samford Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Taringa Rovers win (62%). Probabilities: Taringa Rovers 62%, draw 18%, Samford Rangers 20%.
How many goals are expected in Taringa Rovers vs Samford Rangers?
The model expects 4.13 goals (Taringa Rovers 2.65 · Samford Rangers 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Taringa Rovers vs Samford Rangers?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.