Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 16/08, 07:45
Prediction: SWQ Thunder vs Souths United
Team pages: SWQ Thunder · Souths United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.74Total
SWQ Thunder2.5
Souths United1.25
1X2
SWQ Thunder
Draw
Souths United
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
SWQ Thunder
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Souths United
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SWQ Thunder
5–0
Souths United
(5 last)
- Souths United0-3SWQ Thunder
- SWQ Thunder3-0Souths United
- Souths United0-3SWQ Thunder
- Souths United1-4SWQ Thunder
- SWQ Thunder5-2Souths United
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SWQ Thunder (rating 1574 vs 1442).
- H2H favours SWQ Thunder: 5-0-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SWQ Thunder | Souths United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.2 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 3.7 | 3.3 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SWQ Thunder 5–0–0 Souths United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Souths United | 0-3 HT 0-0 | SWQ Thunder |
| 12/06/21 Australia Queensland Premier League | SWQ Thunder | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Souths United |
| 14/03/21 Australia Queensland Premier League | Souths United | 0-3 HT 0-1 | SWQ Thunder |
| 26/09/20 Australia Queensland Premier League | Souths United | 1-4 HT 0-1 | SWQ Thunder |
| 25/07/20 Australia Queensland Premier League | SWQ Thunder | 5-2 HT 3-1 | Souths United |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SWQ Thunder | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 50 | 25 | 42 |
| 2 | Grange Thistle | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 41 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 35 |
| 4 | Pine Hills | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
| 5 | Souths United | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 31 |
| 6 | Caloundra | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 50 | 29 |
| 7 | Virginia United | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 31 | 29 |
| 8 | Taringa Rovers | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 42 | 28 |
| 9 | Brisbane Knights | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 48 | 28 |
| 10 | Mitchelton FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 27 |
| 11 | Southside Eagles | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 45 | 25 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 61 | 12 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SWQ Thunder | Souths United |
|---|---|---|
| Southside Eagles | 5-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Samford Rangers | 5-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Caloundra | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Pine Hills | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior B | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Brisbane Knights | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Grange Thistle | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Virginia United | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Taringa Rovers | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Mitchelton FC | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: SWQ Thunder (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SWQ Thunder
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
4-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/06 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
Souths United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/07 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/06 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SWQ Thunder vs Souths United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SWQ Thunder win (64%). Probabilities: SWQ Thunder 64%, draw 19%, Souths United 17%.
How many goals are expected in SWQ Thunder vs Souths United?
The model expects 3.74 goals (SWQ Thunder 2.5 · Souths United 1.25), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in SWQ Thunder vs Souths United?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.