Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 16/08, 07:45

Prediction: Virginia United vs Pine Hills

Team pages: Virginia United · Pine Hills

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Virginia United1.45

Pine Hills1.62

1X2

34% 24% 42%

Virginia United Draw Pine Hills

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Virginia United 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLLWLW

Pine Hills 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDWWLL

Head-to-head

Virginia United 4–1–1 Pine Hills (6 last)

Pine Hills0-1Virginia United
Pine Hills2-2Virginia United
Virginia United4-0Pine Hills
Pine Hills0-3Virginia United
Virginia United6-0Pine Hills
Pine Hills2-1Virginia United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Virginia United 1512 · Pine Hills 1529

	Virginia United	Draw	Pine Hills
Our model	33%	26%	41%
Market	35%	22%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Virginia United: 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Virginia United	Pine Hills
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	2.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	1.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3	4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.5 / 0	0.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:19 +1’	2.55	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Virginia United 4–1–1 Pine Hills

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2	Pine Hills	0-1 HT 0-0	Virginia United
02/09/23 Australia Queensland Premier League 3	Pine Hills	2-2 HT 1-1	Virginia United
01/04/23 Australia Queensland Premier League 3	Virginia United	4-0 HT 3-0	Pine Hills
29/06/19 Australia Brisbane Capital League 1	Pine Hills	0-3 HT 0-0	Virginia United
23/03/19 Australia Brisbane Capital League 1	Virginia United	6-0 HT 3-0	Pine Hills
21/07/17 Australia Brisbane Capital League 2	Pine Hills	2-1 HT 0-0	Virginia United

Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SWQ Thunder	21	13	3	5	50	25	42
2	Grange Thistle	21	12	5	4	46	24	41
3	Moreton City Excelsior B	21	10	5	6	54	32	35
4	Pine Hills	21	9	5	7	38	32	32
5	Souths United	21	10	1	10	34	39	31
6	Caloundra	21	9	2	10	47	50	29
7	Virginia United	21	9	2	10	28	31	29
8	Taringa Rovers	21	8	4	9	32	42	28
9	Brisbane Knights	21	9	1	11	36	48	28
10	Mitchelton FC	21	8	3	10	43	42	27
11	Southside Eagles	21	7	4	10	42	45	25
12	Samford Rangers	21	3	3	15	21	61	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Virginia United	Pine Hills
Caloundra	2-1 W	1-0 W
Moreton City Excelsior B	1-2 L	1-1 D
Brisbane Knights	3-0 W	1-2 L
Mitchelton FC	0-3 L	4-2 W
Grange Thistle	0-3 L	1-2 L
Taringa Rovers	2-3 L	1-0 W
SWQ Thunder	1-1 D	3-1 W
Southside Eagles	2-1 W	1-1 D
Samford Rangers	2-1 W	5-1 W
Souths United	3-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pine Hills (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Virginia United

WWWDLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
01/08	Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	1	0	L
25/07	Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-0	3-0	5	1	W
18/07	Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
11/07	Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
04/07	Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
21/06	SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/06	Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
09/06	Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
06/06	Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-0	3-0	–	–	W

Pine Hills

DWWWWDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
01/08	Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
25/07	Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
18/07	SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
04/07	Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
20/06	Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2	4-0	5-1	–	–	W
13/06	Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/06	Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2	2-0	4-2	5	0	W
30/05	Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-0	1-1	8	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Virginia United vs Pine Hills?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pine Hills win (42%). Probabilities: Virginia United 34%, draw 24%, Pine Hills 42%.

How many goals are expected in Virginia United vs Pine Hills?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Virginia United 1.45 · Pine Hills 1.62), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Virginia United vs Pine Hills?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.