Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 09/08, 08:45
Prediction: Southside Eagles vs SWQ Thunder
Team pages: Southside Eagles · SWQ Thunder
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Southside Eagles1.39
SWQ Thunder1.95
1X2
Southside Eagles
Draw
SWQ Thunder
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Southside Eagles
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
SWQ Thunder
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Southside Eagles
1–1–4
SWQ Thunder
(6 last)
- SWQ Thunder2-1Southside Eagles
- SWQ Thunder1-1Southside Eagles
- Southside Eagles3-0SWQ Thunder
- SWQ Thunder2-1Southside Eagles
- Southside Eagles1-3SWQ Thunder
- Southside Eagles0-4SWQ Thunder
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Southside Eagles 1514 · SWQ Thunder 1548
| Southside Eagles | Draw | SWQ Thunder | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 24% | 50% |
| Market | 28% | 21% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours SWQ Thunder: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Southside Eagles | SWQ Thunder | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.5 | 2.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Southside Eagles 1–1–4 SWQ Thunder
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | SWQ Thunder | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Southside Eagles |
| 16/08/25 Australia Queensland Premier League | SWQ Thunder | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Southside Eagles |
| 05/08/25 Australia Queensland Premier League | Southside Eagles | 3-0 HT 1-0 | SWQ Thunder |
| 03/08/24 Australia Queensland Premier League | SWQ Thunder | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Southside Eagles |
| 27/04/24 Australia Queensland Premier League | Southside Eagles | 1-3 HT 1-2 | SWQ Thunder |
| 29/07/23 Australia Queensland Premier League | Southside Eagles | 0-4 HT 0-1 | SWQ Thunder |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grange Thistle | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 40 |
| 2 | SWQ Thunder | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 23 | 39 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 29 | 35 |
| 4 | Pine Hills | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 32 |
| 5 | Souths United | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 37 | 31 |
| 6 | Caloundra | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 46 | 48 | 29 |
| 7 | Virginia United | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 30 | 26 |
| 8 | Southside Eagles | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 25 |
| 9 | Taringa Rovers | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 25 |
| 10 | Brisbane Knights | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 47 | 25 |
| 11 | Mitchelton FC | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 41 | 24 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 21 | 61 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Southside Eagles | SWQ Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Samford Rangers | 7-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Caloundra | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Pine Hills | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior B | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Brisbane Knights | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Virginia United | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Grange Thistle | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Taringa Rovers | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Southside Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 7-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/06 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
SWQ Thunder
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
4-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/06 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Southside Eagles vs SWQ Thunder?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SWQ Thunder win (50%). Probabilities: Southside Eagles 27%, draw 22%, SWQ Thunder 50%.
How many goals are expected in Southside Eagles vs SWQ Thunder?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Southside Eagles 1.39 · SWQ Thunder 1.95), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Southside Eagles vs SWQ Thunder?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.