Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 19/07, 08:00
Prediction: Samford Rangers vs Souths United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.31Total
Samford Rangers1.69
Souths United2.62
1X2
Samford Rangers
Draw
Souths United
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Samford Rangers
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Souths United
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Samford Rangers
3–1–2
Souths United
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samford Rangers 1419 · Souths United 1414
| Samford Rangers | Draw | Souths United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 19% | 57% |
| Market | 24% | 19% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.31 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Samford Rangers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Samford Rangers | Souths United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 3.5 | 1.2 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.2 | 3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 2.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samford Rangers 3–1–2 Souths United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Souths United | 4-3 HT 0-2 | Samford Rangers |
| 15/08/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Souths United | 4-5 HT 1-2 | Samford Rangers |
| 25/05/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Samford Rangers | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Souths United |
| 03/08/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Souths United | 5-3 HT 2-2 | Samford Rangers |
| 27/04/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Samford Rangers | 3-3 HT 1-0 | Souths United |
| 10/06/23 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Samford Rangers | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Souths United |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grange Thistle | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 34 |
| 2 | SWQ Thunder | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 33 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | Caloundra | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 43 | 41 | 28 |
| 5 | Pine Hills | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
| 6 | Virginia United | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 23 |
| 7 | Taringa Rovers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 22 |
| 8 | Souths United | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 22 |
| 9 | Mitchelton FC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 36 | 21 |
| 10 | Southside Eagles | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 34 | 21 |
| 11 | Brisbane Knights | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 41 | 19 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 47 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Samford Rangers | Souths United |
|---|---|---|
| Caloundra | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Pine Hills | 1-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior B | 2-8 L | 0-1 L |
| Virginia United | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Brisbane Knights | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Grange Thistle | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Taringa Rovers | 1-5 L | 5-0 W |
| SWQ Thunder | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 1 W 0 D 7 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samford Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/07 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-4 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 09/06 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
Souths United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/06 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 4-3 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samford Rangers vs Souths United?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Souths United win (57%). Probabilities: Samford Rangers 24%, draw 19%, Souths United 57%.
How many goals are expected in Samford Rangers vs Souths United?
The model expects 4.31 goals (Samford Rangers 1.69 · Souths United 2.62), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Samford Rangers vs Souths United?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.