Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 25/07, 08:00

Prediction: Taringa Rovers vs Pine Hills

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

Taringa Rovers1.67

Pine Hills2.19

1X2

29% 21% 49%

Taringa Rovers Draw Pine Hills

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Taringa Rovers 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Pine Hills 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Taringa Rovers 4–1 Pine Hills (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taringa Rovers 1438 · Pine Hills 1552

	Taringa Rovers	Draw	Pine Hills
Our model	29%	22%	49%
Market	30%	21%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pine Hills (rating 1438 vs 1552).
H2H favours Taringa Rovers: 4-0-1.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Taringa Rovers	Pine Hills
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.8	2.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.4	3.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.33

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
05:02 +7’	3.00	4.33	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Taringa Rovers 4–0–1 Pine Hills

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2	Pine Hills	0-3 HT 0-2	Taringa Rovers
16/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2	Pine Hills	1-2 HT 0-1	Taringa Rovers
07/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2	Taringa Rovers	4-0 HT 2-0	Pine Hills
02/06/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 2	Pine Hills	1-3 HT 1-0	Taringa Rovers
03/03/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 2	Taringa Rovers	0-2 HT 0-1	Pine Hills

Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Grange Thistle	18	10	4	4	40	23	34
2	SWQ Thunder	18	10	3	5	38	22	33
3	Moreton City Excelsior B	18	9	5	4	51	24	32
4	Pine Hills	18	8	5	5	35	28	29
5	Caloundra	18	9	2	7	46	44	29
6	Souths United	18	8	1	9	29	35	25
7	Mitchelton FC	18	7	3	8	37	36	24
8	Virginia United	18	7	2	9	22	28	23
9	Southside Eagles	18	6	4	8	32	37	22
10	Brisbane Knights	18	7	1	10	31	42	22
11	Taringa Rovers	18	6	4	8	28	40	22
12	Samford Rangers	18	3	2	13	19	49	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Taringa Rovers	Pine Hills
Moreton City Excelsior B	0-5 L	1-1 D
Brisbane Knights	1-3 L	2-1 W
Virginia United	3-2 W	0-1 L
Grange Thistle	0-0 D	3-3 D
Mitchelton FC	2-5 L	4-2 W
SWQ Thunder	0-2 L	3-1 W
Southside Eagles	1-3 L	1-1 D
Souths United	0-5 L	3-1 W
Samford Rangers	5-1 W	5-1 W
Caloundra	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 7 L	6 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pine Hills (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taringa Rovers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-2	0-5	4	4	L
12/07	Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-1	1-3	5	2	L
04/07	Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
20/06	Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
13/06	Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-1	2-5	–	–	L
07/06	SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
31/05	Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-0	1-3	9	2	L
23/05	Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-2	0-5	7	1	L
17/05	Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2	3-0	5-1	8	6	W
09/05	Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-0	0-2	9	6	L

Pine Hills

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
04/07	Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
20/06	Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2	4-0	5-1	–	–	W
13/06	Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/06	Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2	2-0	4-2	5	0	W
30/05	Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
23/05	Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2	1-2	3-3	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taringa Rovers vs Pine Hills?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pine Hills win (49%). Probabilities: Taringa Rovers 29%, draw 21%, Pine Hills 49%.

How many goals are expected in Taringa Rovers vs Pine Hills?

The model expects 3.86 goals (Taringa Rovers 1.67 · Pine Hills 2.19), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Taringa Rovers vs Pine Hills?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.