Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 19/07, 09:00
Prediction: Moreton City Excelsior B vs Taringa Rovers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.34Total
Moreton City Excelsior B2.82
Taringa Rovers1.51
1X2
Moreton City Excelsior B
Draw
Taringa Rovers
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Moreton City Excelsior B
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Taringa Rovers
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Moreton City Excelsior B
1–1–1
Taringa Rovers
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moreton City Excelsior B 1527 · Taringa Rovers 1436
| Moreton City Excelsior B | Draw | Taringa Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| Market | 64% | 18% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.34 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Moreton City Excelsior B (rating 1527 vs 1436).
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moreton City Excelsior B | Taringa Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 3.3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moreton City Excelsior B 1–1–1 Taringa Rovers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Taringa Rovers | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Moreton City Excelsior B |
| 13/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Taringa Rovers | 4-3 HT 3-1 | Moreton City Excelsior B |
| 05/04/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 9-2 HT 7-1 | Taringa Rovers |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grange Thistle | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 34 |
| 2 | SWQ Thunder | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 33 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | Caloundra | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 43 | 41 | 28 |
| 5 | Pine Hills | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
| 6 | Virginia United | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 23 |
| 7 | Taringa Rovers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 22 |
| 8 | Souths United | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 22 |
| 9 | Mitchelton FC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 36 | 21 |
| 10 | Southside Eagles | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 34 | 21 |
| 11 | Brisbane Knights | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 41 | 19 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 47 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moreton City Excelsior B | Taringa Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| SWQ Thunder | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Southside Eagles | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Souths United | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Samford Rangers | 8-2 W | 5-1 W |
| Caloundra | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Mitchelton FC | 2-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Brisbane Knights | 8-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Virginia United | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Moreton City Excelsior B (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moreton City Excelsior B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 8-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
5-0 | 8-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | D |
Taringa Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moreton City Excelsior B vs Taringa Rovers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Moreton City Excelsior B win (64%). Probabilities: Moreton City Excelsior B 64%, draw 18%, Taringa Rovers 18%.
How many goals are expected in Moreton City Excelsior B vs Taringa Rovers?
The model expects 4.34 goals (Moreton City Excelsior B 2.82 · Taringa Rovers 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Moreton City Excelsior B vs Taringa Rovers?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.