Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 25/07, 11:00
Prediction: Virginia United vs Brisbane Knights
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.82Total
Virginia United2.1
Brisbane Knights1.72
1X2
Virginia United
Draw
Brisbane Knights
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Virginia United
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Brisbane Knights
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Virginia United
1–1–3
Brisbane Knights
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Virginia United 1491 · Brisbane Knights 1475
| Virginia United | Draw | Brisbane Knights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 22% | 31% |
| Market | 47% | 21% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Brisbane Knights: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Virginia United | Brisbane Knights | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 3.5 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Virginia United 1–1–3 Brisbane Knights
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Brisbane Knights | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Virginia United |
| 06/07/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Virginia United | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Brisbane Knights |
| 03/05/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Brisbane Knights | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Virginia United |
| 15/07/18 Australia Brisbane Premier League | Virginia United | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Brisbane Knights |
| 06/04/18 Australia Brisbane Premier League | Brisbane Knights | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Virginia United |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grange Thistle | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | SWQ Thunder | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 22 | 33 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | Pine Hills | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 28 | 29 |
| 5 | Caloundra | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 44 | 29 |
| 6 | Souths United | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 25 |
| 7 | Mitchelton FC | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 24 |
| 8 | Virginia United | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 23 |
| 9 | Southside Eagles | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 37 | 22 |
| 10 | Brisbane Knights | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 42 | 22 |
| 11 | Taringa Rovers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 40 | 22 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 49 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Virginia United | Brisbane Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchelton FC | 0-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Grange Thistle | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Taringa Rovers | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| SWQ Thunder | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Southside Eagles | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Samford Rangers | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Souths United | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Caloundra | 3-4 L | 6-2 W |
| Pine Hills | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Virginia United (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Virginia United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/06 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | Ipswich FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Brisbane Knights
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 01/07 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 6-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-5 | 0-8 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Virginia United vs Brisbane Knights?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Virginia United win (47%). Probabilities: Virginia United 47%, draw 22%, Brisbane Knights 32%.
How many goals are expected in Virginia United vs Brisbane Knights?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Virginia United 2.1 · Brisbane Knights 1.72), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Virginia United vs Brisbane Knights?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.