Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 11/07, 10:00
Prediction: Mitchelton FC vs Samford Rangers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.52Total
Mitchelton FC2.84
Samford Rangers1.68
1X2
Mitchelton FC
Draw
Samford Rangers
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mitchelton FC
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Samford Rangers
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mitchelton FC
2–1–1
Samford Rangers
(4 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitchelton FC (rating 1504 vs 1385).
- H2H favours Mitchelton FC: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mitchelton FC | Samford Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 3.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.6 | 1.8 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mitchelton FC 2–1–1 Samford Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Samford Rangers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Mitchelton FC |
| 07/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Samford Rangers | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Mitchelton FC |
| 10/05/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Mitchelton FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Samford Rangers |
| 24/07/18 Brisbane City League Cup | Samford Rangers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mitchelton FC |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SWQ Thunder | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 32 |
| 2 | Grange Thistle | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 31 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 21 | 28 |
| 4 | Pine Hills | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 25 |
| 5 | Caloundra | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 41 | 40 | 25 |
| 6 | Virginia United | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Taringa Rovers | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 32 | 22 |
| 8 | Souths United | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 32 | 22 |
| 9 | Mitchelton FC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 35 | 20 |
| 10 | Southside Eagles | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Brisbane Knights | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 40 | 16 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 46 | 10 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mitchelton FC | Samford Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Grange Thistle | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Caloundra | 6-2 W | 1-5 L |
| Taringa Rovers | 5-2 W | 1-5 L |
| Pine Hills | 2-4 L | 1-5 L |
| SWQ Thunder | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior B | 1-2 L | 2-8 L |
| Southside Eagles | 4-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Brisbane Knights | 4-3 W | 1-0 W |
| Virginia United | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Souths United | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 0 D 9 L |
Better against common opponents: Mitchelton FC (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitchelton FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Samford Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-4 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 09/06 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitchelton FC vs Samford Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mitchelton FC win (61%). Probabilities: Mitchelton FC 61%, draw 18%, Samford Rangers 21%.
How many goals are expected in Mitchelton FC vs Samford Rangers?
The model expects 4.52 goals (Mitchelton FC 2.84 · Samford Rangers 1.68), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mitchelton FC vs Samford Rangers?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.