Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 12/07, 08:45
Prediction: Taringa Rovers vs Brisbane Knights
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.43Total
Taringa Rovers2.49
Brisbane Knights1.94
1X2
Taringa Rovers
Draw
Brisbane Knights
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Taringa Rovers
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Brisbane Knights
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Taringa Rovers
3–1–2
Brisbane Knights
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taringa Rovers 1461 · Brisbane Knights 1443
| Taringa Rovers | Draw | Brisbane Knights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 20% | 30% |
| Market | 50% | 20% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.43 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Taringa Rovers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Taringa Rovers | Brisbane Knights | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.3 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.3 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taringa Rovers 3–1–2 Brisbane Knights
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Brisbane Knights | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Taringa Rovers |
| 15/08/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Brisbane Knights | 4-4 HT 2-1 | Taringa Rovers |
| 24/05/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Taringa Rovers | 2-6 HT 0-1 | Brisbane Knights |
| 04/10/20 Australia Brisbane Premier League | Taringa Rovers | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Brisbane Knights |
| 25/08/19 Australia Brisbane Premier League | Taringa Rovers | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Brisbane Knights |
| 17/05/19 Australia Brisbane Premier League | Brisbane Knights | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Taringa Rovers |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grange Thistle | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 34 |
| 2 | SWQ Thunder | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 33 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | Caloundra | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 43 | 41 | 28 |
| 5 | Pine Hills | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
| 6 | Virginia United | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 23 |
| 7 | Taringa Rovers | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 32 | 22 |
| 8 | Souths United | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 22 |
| 9 | Mitchelton FC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 36 | 21 |
| 10 | Southside Eagles | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 34 | 21 |
| 11 | Brisbane Knights | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 40 | 16 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 47 | 11 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Taringa Rovers | Brisbane Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Virginia United | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Grange Thistle | 0-0 D | 2-4 L |
| Mitchelton FC | 2-5 L | 3-4 L |
| SWQ Thunder | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Southside Eagles | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Souths United | 0-5 L | 3-1 W |
| Samford Rangers | 5-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Caloundra | 0-2 L | 6-2 W |
| Moreton City Excelsior B | 3-3 D | 0-8 L |
| Pine Hills | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 0 D 8 L |
Better against common opponents: Taringa Rovers (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taringa Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Brisbane Knights
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 01/07 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 6-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-5 | 0-8 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taringa Rovers vs Brisbane Knights?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Taringa Rovers win (50%). Probabilities: Taringa Rovers 50%, draw 20%, Brisbane Knights 30%.
How many goals are expected in Taringa Rovers vs Brisbane Knights?
The model expects 4.43 goals (Taringa Rovers 2.49 · Brisbane Knights 1.94), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Taringa Rovers vs Brisbane Knights?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.