Prediction: Virginia United vs Taringa Rovers
Expected goals: 3.35 (Virginia United 1.87 · Taringa Rovers 1.48). The model gives 46% home, 23% draw, 30% away. Under 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Virginia United sits at 6-3-1 (W-D-L), while Taringa Rovers arrives on a 2-2-6 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Virginia United won 0 and Taringa Rovers 5, with 1 draw.
| Virginia United | Draw | Taringa Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 47% | 22% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Virginia United (rating 1565 vs 1432).
- H2H favours Taringa Rovers: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Virginia United | Taringa Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1.5 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 4.8 | 3.3 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Virginia United 0–1–5 Taringa Rovers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Taringa Rovers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Virginia United |
| 09/07/22 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Virginia United | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Taringa Rovers |
| 24/04/22 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Taringa Rovers | 5-2 HT 4-2 | Virginia United |
| 24/07/21 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Virginia United | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Taringa Rovers |
| 30/05/21 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Virginia United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Taringa Rovers |
| 26/03/21 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Taringa Rovers | 7-0 HT 0-0 | Virginia United |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grange Thistle | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | SWQ Thunder | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 16 | 29 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 28 |
| 4 | Virginia United | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 23 |
| 5 | Pine Hills | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 22 |
| 6 | Caloundra | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 39 | 22 |
| 7 | Souths United | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 22 |
| 8 | Taringa Rovers | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 30 | 19 |
| 9 | Mitchelton FC | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 34 | 17 |
| 10 | Southside Eagles | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 33 | 17 |
| 11 | Brisbane Knights | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 16 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 41 | 10 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Virginia United | Taringa Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| SWQ Thunder | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Southside Eagles | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Samford Rangers | 2-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Souths United | 3-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Caloundra | 3-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Pine Hills | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Moreton City Excelsior B | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Mitchelton FC | 1-0 W | 2-5 L |
| Brisbane Knights | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Virginia United (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Virginia United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/06 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | Ipswich FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Taringa Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/04 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Virginia United vs Taringa Rovers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Virginia United win (46%). Probabilities: Virginia United 46%, draw 23%, Taringa Rovers 30%.
How many goals are expected in Virginia United vs Taringa Rovers?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Virginia United 1.87 · Taringa Rovers 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Virginia United vs Taringa Rovers?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.