Football · Georgia First League · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: FC Gori vs FC Samtredia

Team pages: FC Gori · FC Samtredia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

FC Gori1.39

FC Samtredia1.49

1X2

34% 27% 39%

FC Gori Draw FC Samtredia

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gori 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDLDWL

FC Samtredia 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Gori 1–1–1 FC Samtredia (3 last)

FC Samtredia1-0FC Gori
FC Gori2-1FC Samtredia
FC Samtredia2-2FC Gori

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gori 1509 · FC Samtredia 1556

	FC Gori	Draw	FC Samtredia
Our model	34%	27%	39%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Samtredia (rating 1509 vs 1556).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gori	FC Samtredia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	2.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.40

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:10 +7’	2.60	3.40	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gori 1–1–1 FC Samtredia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Georgia First League	FC Samtredia	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Gori
10/05/26 Georgia First League	FC Gori	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Samtredia
11/03/26 Georgia First League	FC Samtredia	2-2 HT 1-0	FC Gori

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	29	15	8	6	37	30	53
2	FC Telavi	29	12	10	7	34	28	46
3	SFC Shturmi	29	12	10	7	32	26	46
4	Merani Martvili	29	11	7	11	34	37	40
5	FC Samtredia	29	12	4	13	51	41	40
6	Aragvi Dusheti	29	11	5	13	32	41	38
7	FC Sioni Bolnisi	29	9	9	11	36	37	36
8	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	29	9	8	12	30	41	35
9	Kolkheti Poti	29	7	10	12	38	35	31
10	FC Gori	29	7	9	13	29	37	30

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gori	FC Samtredia
FC Sioni Bolnisi	0-1 L	3-0 W
Merani Martvili	2-1 W	5-0 W
Kolkheti Poti	1-1 D	0-1 L
FC Gareji	1-2 L	6-1 W
FC Telavi	2-2 D	3-0 W
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	3-2 W	3-0 W
SFC Shturmi	3-1 W	1-0 W
Aragvi Dusheti	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Samtredia (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gori

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
10/10	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
16/09	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-0	1-2	10	2	L
12/09	FC Telavi Georgia First League	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
06/09	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-1	3-2	2	3	W
29/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	3-1	2	3	W
22/08	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
08/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-0	4-1	5	2	W

FC Samtredia

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
10/10	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
20/09	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	5-0	5-0	–	–	W
16/09	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
12/09	FC Gareji Georgia First League	3-1	6-1	8	5	W
07/09	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-0	3-0	2	10	W
28/08	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
22/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
15/08	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
08/08	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	2-1	4-2	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gori vs FC Samtredia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Samtredia win (39%). Probabilities: FC Gori 34%, draw 27%, FC Samtredia 39%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gori vs FC Samtredia?

The model expects 2.89 goals (FC Gori 1.39 · FC Samtredia 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gori vs FC Samtredia?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.