Football · Georgia First League · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: FC Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti

Team pages: FC Gori · Aragvi Dusheti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

FC Gori1.39

Aragvi Dusheti1.01

1X2

45% 28% 27%

FC Gori Draw Aragvi Dusheti

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gori 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWDLDWLW

Aragvi Dusheti 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLLLWLWD

Head-to-head

FC Gori 2–4 Aragvi Dusheti (6 last)

Aragvi Dusheti1-0FC Gori
FC Gori0-1Aragvi Dusheti
Aragvi Dusheti1-0FC Gori
FC Gori1-0Aragvi Dusheti
Aragvi Dusheti6-0FC Gori
FC Gori2-0Aragvi Dusheti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gori 1488 · Aragvi Dusheti 1509

	FC Gori	Draw	Aragvi Dusheti
Our model	44%	30%	26%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Aragvi Dusheti: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gori	Aragvi Dusheti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.40

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:08 +6’	1.95	3.40	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gori 2–0–4 Aragvi Dusheti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Georgia First League	Aragvi Dusheti	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Gori
16/05/26 Georgia First League	FC Gori	0-1 HT 0-1	Aragvi Dusheti
15/03/26 Georgia First League	Aragvi Dusheti	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Gori
03/10/25 Georgia Liga 3	FC Gori	1-0 HT 1-0	Aragvi Dusheti
02/05/25 Georgia Liga 3	Aragvi Dusheti	6-0 HT 5-0	FC Gori
03/11/23 Georgia Liga 3	FC Gori	2-0 HT 0-0	Aragvi Dusheti

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	30	15	9	6	37	30	54
2	SFC Shturmi	30	13	10	7	33	26	49
3	FC Telavi	30	12	11	7	35	29	47
4	Merani Martvili	30	11	7	12	34	40	40
5	FC Samtredia	30	12	4	14	51	42	40
6	Aragvi Dusheti	30	11	6	13	32	41	39
7	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	30	10	8	12	33	41	38
8	FC Sioni Bolnisi	30	9	9	12	36	38	36
9	FC Gori	30	8	9	13	30	37	33
10	Kolkheti Poti	30	7	11	12	39	36	32

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gori	Aragvi Dusheti
FC Samtredia	1-0 W	1-0 W
FC Sioni Bolnisi	0-1 L	2-1 W
Merani Martvili	2-1 W	1-3 L
Kolkheti Poti	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Gareji	1-2 L	0-0 D
FC Telavi	2-2 D	1-4 L
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	3-2 W	0-1 L
SFC Shturmi	3-1 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Gori (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gori

LLWWDLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
17/10	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
10/10	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
16/09	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-0	1-2	10	2	L
12/09	FC Telavi Georgia First League	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
06/09	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-1	3-2	2	3	W
29/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	3-1	2	3	W
22/08	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L

Aragvi Dusheti

WWDLLLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
17/10	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
10/10	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-3	1-4	6	2	L
20/09	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
16/09	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
12/09	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-2	1-3	8	2	L
06/09	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-2	3-4	3	4	L
30/08	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
22/08	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
15/08	FC Gareji Georgia First League	2-0	2-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Gori win (45%). Probabilities: FC Gori 45%, draw 28%, Aragvi Dusheti 27%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti?

The model expects 2.4 goals (FC Gori 1.39 · Aragvi Dusheti 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.