Football · Georgia First League · 31/10, 14:00
Prediction: Kolkheti Poti vs FC Gareji
Team pages: Kolkheti Poti · FC Gareji
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Kolkheti Poti1.6
FC Gareji1.19
1X2
Kolkheti Poti
Draw
FC Gareji
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Kolkheti Poti
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
FC Gareji
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kolkheti Poti
0–3–3
FC Gareji
(6 last)
- FC Gareji3-2Kolkheti Poti
- Kolkheti Poti1-1FC Gareji
- FC Gareji2-1Kolkheti Poti
- Kolkheti Poti1-3FC Gareji
- FC Gareji2-2Kolkheti Poti
- FC Gareji1-1Kolkheti Poti
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kolkheti Poti 1499 · FC Gareji 1513
| Kolkheti Poti | Draw | FC Gareji | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Gareji: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kolkheti Poti | FC Gareji | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.7 | 1.1 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolkheti Poti 0–3–3 FC Gareji
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Georgia First League | FC Gareji | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Kolkheti Poti |
| 16/05/26 Georgia First League | Kolkheti Poti | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FC Gareji |
| 15/03/26 Georgia First League | FC Gareji | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Kolkheti Poti |
| 02/11/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Kolkheti Poti | 1-3 HT 1-0 | FC Gareji |
| 24/08/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Gareji | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Kolkheti Poti |
| 20/07/25 Georgia Cup | FC Gareji | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Kolkheti Poti |
Standings · Georgia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gareji | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 54 |
| 2 | SFC Shturmi | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 49 |
| 3 | FC Telavi | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 29 | 47 |
| 4 | Merani Martvili | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 40 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Samtredia | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 51 | 42 | 40 |
| 6 | Aragvi Dusheti | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 41 | 39 |
| 7 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 41 | 38 |
| 8 | FC Sioni Bolnisi | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 38 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Gori | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 37 | 33 |
| 10 | Kolkheti Poti | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 32 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kolkheti Poti | FC Gareji |
|---|---|---|
| FC Telavi | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Odishi 1919 Zugdidi | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| SFC Shturmi | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Gori | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Samtredia | 1-0 W | 1-6 L |
| FC Sioni Bolnisi | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Merani Martvili | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Aragvi Dusheti | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kolkheti Poti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | FC Telavi Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 17/10 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | SFC Shturmi Georgia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 16/09 | FC Samtredia Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Merani Martvili Georgia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | FC Gareji Georgia First League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Telavi Georgia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
FC Gareji
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | FC Telavi Georgia First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | SFC Shturmi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 16/09 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Samtredia Georgia First League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Merani Martvili Georgia First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kolkheti Poti vs FC Gareji?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kolkheti Poti win (46%). Probabilities: Kolkheti Poti 46%, draw 27%, FC Gareji 27%.
How many goals are expected in Kolkheti Poti vs FC Gareji?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Kolkheti Poti 1.6 · FC Gareji 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kolkheti Poti vs FC Gareji?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.