Football · Georgia First League · 24/10, 18:00
Prediction: SFC Shturmi vs FC Sioni Bolnisi
Team pages: SFC Shturmi · FC Sioni Bolnisi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
SFC Shturmi1.56
FC Sioni Bolnisi0.97
1X2
SFC Shturmi
Draw
FC Sioni Bolnisi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
SFC Shturmi
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
FC Sioni Bolnisi
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SFC Shturmi
1–1–4
FC Sioni Bolnisi
(6 last)
- FC Sioni Bolnisi0-1SFC Shturmi
- SFC Shturmi0-2FC Sioni Bolnisi
- FC Sioni Bolnisi1-1SFC Shturmi
- FC Sioni Bolnisi2-1SFC Shturmi
- SFC Shturmi0-1FC Sioni Bolnisi
- FC Sioni Bolnisi2-1SFC Shturmi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SFC Shturmi 1519 · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1488
| SFC Shturmi | Draw | FC Sioni Bolnisi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Sioni Bolnisi: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SFC Shturmi | FC Sioni Bolnisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SFC Shturmi 1–1–4 FC Sioni Bolnisi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Georgia First League | FC Sioni Bolnisi | 0-1 HT 0-0 | SFC Shturmi |
| 10/05/26 Georgia First League | SFC Shturmi | 0-2 HT 0-2 | FC Sioni Bolnisi |
| 11/03/26 Georgia First League | FC Sioni Bolnisi | 1-1 HT 1-1 | SFC Shturmi |
| 05/10/24 Georgia First League | FC Sioni Bolnisi | 2-1 HT 2-0 | SFC Shturmi |
| 10/08/24 Georgia First League | SFC Shturmi | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Sioni Bolnisi |
| 01/05/24 Georgia First League | FC Sioni Bolnisi | 2-1 HT 1-1 | SFC Shturmi |
Standings · Georgia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gareji | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | FC Telavi | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 34 | 28 | 46 |
| 3 | SFC Shturmi | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 46 |
| 4 | Merani Martvili | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 37 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Samtredia | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 41 | 40 |
| 6 | Aragvi Dusheti | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 41 | 38 |
| 7 | FC Sioni Bolnisi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 37 | 36 |
| 8 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 41 | 35 |
| 9 | Kolkheti Poti | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 38 | 35 | 31 |
| 10 | FC Gori | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 37 | 30 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SFC Shturmi | FC Sioni Bolnisi |
|---|---|---|
| Merani Martvili | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Kolkheti Poti | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Gareji | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| FC Telavi | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Odishi 1919 Zugdidi | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Aragvi Dusheti | 4-3 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Gori | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Samtredia | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: SFC Shturmi (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SFC Shturmi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Merani Martvili Georgia First League |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | FC Gareji Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 16/09 | FC Telavi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League |
2-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Samtredia Georgia First League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Merani Martvili Georgia First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
FC Sioni Bolnisi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | FC Samtredia Georgia First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | Merani Martvili Georgia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Gareji Georgia First League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Telavi Georgia First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | SFC Shturmi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SFC Shturmi vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SFC Shturmi win (50%). Probabilities: SFC Shturmi 50%, draw 28%, FC Sioni Bolnisi 22%.
How many goals are expected in SFC Shturmi vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?
The model expects 2.53 goals (SFC Shturmi 1.56 · FC Sioni Bolnisi 0.97), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SFC Shturmi vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.