Football · Georgia First League · 31/10, 12:00

Prediction: Merani Martvili vs FC Telavi

Team pages: Merani Martvili · FC Telavi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

Merani Martvili1.11

FC Telavi1.23

1X2

33% 29% 38%

Merani Martvili Draw FC Telavi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Merani Martvili 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWLLWL

FC Telavi 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDDDWLD

Head-to-head

Merani Martvili 1–3–2 FC Telavi (6 last)

FC Telavi1-0Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili0-0FC Telavi
FC Telavi1-1Merani Martvili
FC Telavi0-0Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili2-0FC Telavi
FC Telavi2-1Merani Martvili

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Merani Martvili 1466 · FC Telavi 1492

	Merani Martvili	Draw	FC Telavi
Our model	32%	31%	38%
Market	33%	28%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Telavi: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Merani Martvili	FC Telavi
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.2	2.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.20

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:33 +38’	2.70	3.20	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Merani Martvili 1–3–2 FC Telavi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Georgia First League	FC Telavi	1-0 HT 0-0	Merani Martvili
16/05/26 Georgia First League	Merani Martvili	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Telavi
15/03/26 Georgia First League	FC Telavi	1-1 HT 1-0	Merani Martvili
26/10/18 Georgia First League	FC Telavi	0-0 HT 0-0	Merani Martvili
09/08/18 Georgia First League	Merani Martvili	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Telavi
12/05/18 Georgia First League	FC Telavi	2-1	Merani Martvili

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	30	15	9	6	37	30	54
2	SFC Shturmi	30	13	10	7	33	26	49
3	FC Telavi	30	12	11	7	35	29	47
4	Merani Martvili	30	11	7	12	34	40	40
5	FC Samtredia	30	12	4	14	51	42	40
6	Aragvi Dusheti	30	11	6	13	32	41	39
7	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	30	10	8	12	33	41	38
8	FC Sioni Bolnisi	30	9	9	12	36	38	36
9	FC Gori	30	8	9	13	30	37	33
10	Kolkheti Poti	30	7	11	12	39	36	32

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Merani Martvili	FC Telavi
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	0-3 L	1-1 D
SFC Shturmi	3-1 W	1-1 D
FC Gori	1-2 L	2-2 D
FC Samtredia	0-5 L	0-3 L
FC Sioni Bolnisi	2-1 W	1-2 L
Aragvi Dusheti	3-1 W	4-1 W
Kolkheti Poti	0-2 L	1-1 D
FC Gareji	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Telavi (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Merani Martvili

DLLLWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
10/10	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-5	0-5	–	–	L
16/09	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
12/09	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	2-0	3-1	6	2	W
06/09	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
29/08	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	9	5	L
22/08	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
15/08	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	7	6	D

FC Telavi

DWLLDDDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
17/10	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
10/10	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
20/09	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
16/09	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-1	2-2	5	6	D
07/09	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	0-3	8	10	L
29/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-1	1-2	8	6	L
22/08	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
15/08	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Merani Martvili vs FC Telavi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Telavi win (38%). Probabilities: Merani Martvili 33%, draw 29%, FC Telavi 38%.

How many goals are expected in Merani Martvili vs FC Telavi?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Merani Martvili 1.11 · FC Telavi 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Merani Martvili vs FC Telavi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.