Football · Georgia First League · 29/08, 17:00

Prediction: FC Sioni Bolnisi vs FC Telavi

Team pages: FC Sioni Bolnisi · FC Telavi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.94Total

FC Sioni Bolnisi0.95

FC Telavi0.99

1X2

33% 32% 35%

FC Sioni Bolnisi Draw FC Telavi

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Sioni Bolnisi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDWLWLLW

FC Telavi 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWDDW

Head-to-head

FC Sioni Bolnisi 1–2–3 FC Telavi (6 last)

FC Telavi2-1FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi3-0FC Telavi
FC Telavi0-0FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi0-0FC Telavi
FC Telavi2-0FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi0-2FC Telavi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1496 · FC Telavi 1567

	FC Sioni Bolnisi	Draw	FC Telavi
Our model	32%	34%	34%
Market	34%	30%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Telavi (rating 1496 vs 1567).
H2H favours FC Telavi: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Sioni Bolnisi	FC Telavi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.6 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.4	1.8 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.00

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:04 +16’	2.63	3.00	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1–2–3 FC Telavi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Georgia First League	FC Telavi	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
03/04/26 Georgia First League	FC Sioni Bolnisi	3-0 HT 0-0	FC Telavi
09/10/22 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Telavi	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
02/07/22 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Sioni Bolnisi	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Telavi
03/05/22 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Telavi	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
05/03/22 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Sioni Bolnisi	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Telavi

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	22	12	7	3	27	16	43
2	FC Telavi	22	11	7	4	24	16	40
3	SFC Shturmi	22	8	9	5	20	16	33
4	Merani Martvili	22	8	7	7	24	23	31
5	Aragvi Dusheti	22	9	4	9	23	27	31
6	FC Sioni Bolnisi	22	7	7	8	27	25	28
7	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	22	7	7	8	25	28	28
8	FC Samtredia	22	7	4	11	31	38	25
9	FC Gori	22	4	7	11	17	27	19
10	Kolkheti Poti	22	4	7	11	28	30	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Sioni Bolnisi	FC Telavi
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	1-0 W	1-0 W
SFC Shturmi	0-1 L	2-0 W
FC Gori	1-4 L	1-0 W
FC Samtredia	3-2 W	3-0 W
Aragvi Dusheti	2-3 L	1-0 W
Merani Martvili	2-0 W	1-0 W
Kolkheti Poti	0-0 D	1-1 D
FC Gareji	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Telavi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Sioni Bolnisi

WLDDWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	0	6	W
15/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
08/08	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-1	1-4	4	2	L
22/06	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
17/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	2-2	2-3	4	6	L
13/06	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
30/05	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
24/05	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
20/05	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
16/05	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	5	5	W

FC Telavi

DWWWWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
15/08	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
08/08	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
22/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
17/06	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
13/06	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
30/05	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
24/05	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	2-0	3-0	1	5	W
20/05	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
16/05	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	0	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Sioni Bolnisi vs FC Telavi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Telavi win (35%). Probabilities: FC Sioni Bolnisi 33%, draw 32%, FC Telavi 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Sioni Bolnisi vs FC Telavi?

The model expects 1.94 goals (FC Sioni Bolnisi 0.95 · FC Telavi 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Sioni Bolnisi vs FC Telavi?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.