Football · Georgia First League · 29/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Gori vs SFC Shturmi

Team pages: FC Gori · SFC Shturmi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

FC Gori0.91

SFC Shturmi1.09

1X2

30% 30% 40%

FC Gori Draw SFC Shturmi

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gori 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDWWLL

SFC Shturmi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLLDDWWL

Head-to-head

FC Gori 1–3–2 SFC Shturmi (6 last)

SFC Shturmi2-0FC Gori
FC Gori0-0SFC Shturmi
SFC Shturmi2-2FC Gori
FC Gori2-1SFC Shturmi
FC Gori4-4SFC Shturmi
SFC Shturmi3-0FC Gori

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gori 1466 · SFC Shturmi 1512

	FC Gori	Draw	SFC Shturmi
Our model	29%	33%	38%
Market	31%	28%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SFC Shturmi (rating 1466 vs 1512).
H2H favours SFC Shturmi: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gori	SFC Shturmi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	0.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.4	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.20

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:28 +4’	2.88	3.20	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gori 1–3–2 SFC Shturmi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Georgia First League	SFC Shturmi	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Gori
03/04/26 Georgia First League	FC Gori	0-0 HT 0-0	SFC Shturmi
09/10/25 Georgia Liga 3	SFC Shturmi	2-2 HT 1-2	FC Gori
08/05/25 Georgia Liga 3	FC Gori	2-1 HT 1-1	SFC Shturmi
01/12/23 Georgia Liga 3	FC Gori	4-4 HT 2-1	SFC Shturmi
24/08/23 Georgia Liga 3	SFC Shturmi	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Gori

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	22	12	7	3	27	16	43
2	FC Telavi	22	11	7	4	24	16	40
3	SFC Shturmi	22	8	9	5	20	16	33
4	Merani Martvili	22	8	7	7	24	23	31
5	Aragvi Dusheti	22	9	4	9	23	27	31
6	FC Sioni Bolnisi	22	7	7	8	27	25	28
7	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	22	7	7	8	25	28	28
8	FC Samtredia	22	7	4	11	31	38	25
9	FC Gori	22	4	7	11	17	27	19
10	Kolkheti Poti	22	4	7	11	28	30	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gori	SFC Shturmi
Aragvi Dusheti	0-1 L	2-0 W
FC Samtredia	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC Sioni Bolnisi	4-1 W	1-0 W
Merani Martvili	2-0 W	2-1 W
Kolkheti Poti	1-1 D	0-0 D
FC Gareji	1-3 L	0-0 D
FC Telavi	0-1 L	0-2 L
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gori

LLLLLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
08/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-0	4-1	5	2	W
22/06	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
17/06	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
13/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-2	1-3	4	5	L
30/05	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
24/05	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	0-1	1-3	4	8	L
20/05	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
16/05	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	2	8	L

SFC Shturmi

DWWLLDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
15/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
08/08	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
22/06	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
13/06	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
30/05	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-2	1-2	8	8	L
24/05	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
20/05	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
16/05	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	9	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gori vs SFC Shturmi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SFC Shturmi win (40%). Probabilities: FC Gori 30%, draw 30%, SFC Shturmi 40%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gori vs SFC Shturmi?

The model expects 2 goals (FC Gori 0.91 · SFC Shturmi 1.09), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gori vs SFC Shturmi?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.