Football · Georgia First League · 10/10, 19:00

Prediction: Aragvi Dusheti vs FC Telavi

Team pages: Aragvi Dusheti · FC Telavi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Aragvi Dusheti1.03
FC Telavi1.29
1X2
29% 29% 42%
Aragvi Dusheti Draw FC Telavi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Aragvi Dusheti 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWWDLLLW
FC Telavi 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDWLLDDD
Head-to-head
Aragvi Dusheti 1–2 FC Telavi (3 last)
  • FC Telavi1-0Aragvi Dusheti
  • Aragvi Dusheti2-1FC Telavi
  • FC Telavi1-0Aragvi Dusheti
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aragvi Dusheti 1494 · FC Telavi 1503
Aragvi DushetiDrawFC Telavi
Our model28%31%41%
Market30%28%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours FC Telavi: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Aragvi DushetiFC Telavi
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.70.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.12.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.35.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aragvi Dusheti 1–0–2 FC Telavi

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/06/26
Georgia First League
FC Telavi1-0
HT 0-0
Aragvi Dusheti
02/05/26
Georgia First League
Aragvi Dusheti2-1
HT 0-1
FC Telavi
11/04/26
Georgia First League
FC Telavi1-0
HT 0-0
Aragvi Dusheti

Standings · Georgia First League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Gareji 271485 352850
2 FC Telavi 2711106 292543
3 SFC Shturmi 2711106 292343
4 Merani Martvili 2710710 303437
5 FC Samtredia 2711412 484037
6 Aragvi Dusheti 2710512 303735
7 FC Sioni Bolnisi 278910 353433
8 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 278811 293732
9 Kolkheti Poti 2761011 343328
10 FC Gori 276912 273527

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAragvi DushetiFC Telavi
FC Sioni Bolnisi 2-1 W 1-2 L
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 0-1 L 1-1 D
Merani Martvili 1-3 L 1-0 W
SFC Shturmi 3-4 L 1-1 D
Kolkheti Poti 1-1 D 1-1 D
FC Gori 1-0 W 2-2 D
FC Gareji 2-0 W 0-0 D
FC Samtredia 2-4 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Aragvi Dusheti (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aragvi Dusheti

WLLWWDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 FC Sioni Bolnisi
Georgia First League
1-0 2-1 44 W
16/09 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Georgia First League
0-0 0-1 47 L
12/09 Merani Martvili
Georgia First League
0-2 1-3 82 L
06/09 SFC Shturmi
Georgia First League
0-2 3-4 34 L
30/08 Kolkheti Poti
Georgia First League
0-0 1-1 12 D
22/08 FC Gori
Georgia First League
1-0 1-0 52 W
15/08 FC Gareji
Georgia First League
2-0 2-0 54 W
08/08 FC Samtredia
Georgia First League
1-2 2-4 44 L
22/06 FC Telavi
Georgia First League
0-0 0-1 64 L
17/06 FC Sioni Bolnisi
Georgia First League
2-2 3-2 16 W

FC Telavi

WWDDWLLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Georgia First League
1-1 1-1 –– D
16/09 SFC Shturmi
Georgia First League
0-0 1-1 36 D
12/09 FC Gori
Georgia First League
0-1 2-2 56 D
07/09 FC Samtredia
Georgia First League
0-0 0-3 810 L
29/08 FC Sioni Bolnisi
Georgia First League
1-1 1-2 86 L
22/08 Merani Martvili
Georgia First League
0-0 1-0 56 W
15/08 Kolkheti Poti
Georgia First League
1-0 1-1 14 D
08/08 FC Gareji
Georgia First League
0-0 0-0 42 D
22/06 Aragvi Dusheti
Georgia First League
0-0 1-0 54 W
17/06 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Georgia First League
1-0 1-0 58 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aragvi Dusheti vs FC Telavi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Telavi win (42%). Probabilities: Aragvi Dusheti 29%, draw 29%, FC Telavi 42%.

How many goals are expected in Aragvi Dusheti vs FC Telavi?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Aragvi Dusheti 1.03 · FC Telavi 1.29), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Aragvi Dusheti vs FC Telavi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.