Football · Georgia First League · 10/10, 18:00

Prediction: SFC Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti

Team pages: SFC Shturmi · Kolkheti Poti

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
SFC Shturmi1.19
Kolkheti Poti0.86
1X2
44% 30% 27%
SFC Shturmi Draw Kolkheti Poti
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
SFC Shturmi 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DDWWLLWWDW
Kolkheti Poti 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DDLDLDWDWD
Head-to-head
SFC Shturmi 1–2–0 Kolkheti Poti (3 last)
  • Kolkheti Poti0-0SFC Shturmi
  • SFC Shturmi1-0Kolkheti Poti
  • Kolkheti Poti1-1SFC Shturmi
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SFC Shturmi 1546 · Kolkheti Poti 1497
SFC ShturmiDrawKolkheti Poti
Our model42%32%25%
Market45%28%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SFC Shturmi (rating 1546 vs 1497).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SFC ShturmiKolkheti Poti
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.91.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.10.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.81.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.13.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · SFC Shturmi 1–2–0 Kolkheti Poti

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/06/26
Georgia First League
Kolkheti Poti0-0
HT 0-0
SFC Shturmi
02/05/26
Georgia First League
SFC Shturmi1-0
HT 0-0
Kolkheti Poti
01/03/26
Georgia First League
Kolkheti Poti1-1
HT 1-1
SFC Shturmi

Standings · Georgia First League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Gareji 271485 352850
2 FC Telavi 2711106 292543
3 SFC Shturmi 2711106 292343
4 Merani Martvili 2710710 303437
5 FC Samtredia 2711412 484037
6 Aragvi Dusheti 2710512 303735
7 FC Sioni Bolnisi 278910 353433
8 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 278811 293732
9 Kolkheti Poti 2761011 343328
10 FC Gori 276912 273527

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSFC ShturmiKolkheti Poti
FC Gareji 1-0 W 2-3 L
FC Telavi 1-1 D 1-1 D
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 2-0 W 1-2 L
Aragvi Dusheti 4-3 W 1-1 D
FC Gori 1-3 L 1-1 D
FC Samtredia 0-1 L 1-0 W
FC Sioni Bolnisi 1-0 W 1-1 D
Merani Martvili 2-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SFC Shturmi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SFC Shturmi

DDWWLLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 FC Gareji
Georgia First League
0-0 1-0 67 W
16/09 FC Telavi
Georgia First League
0-0 1-1 26 D
12/09 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Georgia First League
1-0 2-0 35 W
06/09 Aragvi Dusheti
Georgia First League
2-0 4-3 44 W
29/08 FC Gori
Georgia First League
0-0 1-3 63 L
22/08 FC Samtredia
Georgia First League
0-1 0-1 37 L
15/08 FC Sioni Bolnisi
Georgia First League
0-0 1-0 14 W
08/08 Merani Martvili
Georgia First League
1-0 2-1 16 W
22/06 Kolkheti Poti
Georgia First League
0-0 0-0 –– D
17/06 FC Gareji
Georgia First League
0-0 0-0 81 D

Kolkheti Poti

DDLDLDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 FC Gori
Georgia First League
1-1 1-1 26 D
16/09 FC Samtredia
Georgia First League
1-0 1-0 14 W
12/09 FC Sioni Bolnisi
Georgia First League
0-0 1-1 92 D
06/09 Merani Martvili
Georgia First League
1-0 2-0 43 W
30/08 Aragvi Dusheti
Georgia First League
0-0 1-1 22 D
22/08 FC Gareji
Georgia First League
1-1 2-3 75 L
15/08 FC Telavi
Georgia First League
0-1 1-1 114 D
08/08 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Georgia First League
1-1 1-2 75 L
22/06 SFC Shturmi
Georgia First League
0-0 0-0 –– D
17/06 FC Gori
Georgia First League
1-0 1-1 24 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SFC Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SFC Shturmi win (44%). Probabilities: SFC Shturmi 44%, draw 30%, Kolkheti Poti 27%.

How many goals are expected in SFC Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti?

The model expects 2.05 goals (SFC Shturmi 1.19 · Kolkheti Poti 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SFC Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.