Football · Georgia First League · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: FC Sioni Bolnisi vs FC Gori

Team pages: FC Sioni Bolnisi · FC Gori

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

FC Sioni Bolnisi1.49

FC Gori1.15

1X2

44% 27% 28%

FC Sioni Bolnisi Draw FC Gori

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Sioni Bolnisi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDDLLL

FC Gori 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWDLDW

Head-to-head

FC Sioni Bolnisi 0–2–3 FC Gori (5 last)

FC Gori4-1FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Gori1-0FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi1-1FC Gori
FC Gori0-0FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi0-2FC Gori

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1461 · FC Gori 1518

	FC Sioni Bolnisi	Draw	FC Gori
Our model	44%	28%	28%
Market	45%	26%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Gori (rating 1461 vs 1518).
H2H favours FC Gori: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Sioni Bolnisi	FC Gori
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.40

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.16 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:49 +29’	2.00	3.40	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:10 +44’	2.16	3.20	2.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Sioni Bolnisi 0–2–3 FC Gori

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Georgia First League	FC Gori	4-1 HT 1-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
25/07/26 Georgia Cup	FC Gori	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
06/05/26 Georgia First League	FC Sioni Bolnisi	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Gori
07/03/26 Georgia First League	FC Gori	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
22/02/21 Europe Friendlies	FC Sioni Bolnisi	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Gori

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	28	14	8	6	35	29	50
2	FC Telavi	28	12	10	6	33	26	46
3	SFC Shturmi	28	12	10	6	31	23	46
4	FC Samtredia	28	12	4	12	51	40	40
5	Merani Martvili	28	10	7	11	31	36	37
6	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	28	9	8	11	30	37	35
7	Aragvi Dusheti	28	10	5	13	31	41	35
8	FC Sioni Bolnisi	28	8	9	11	35	37	33
9	FC Gori	28	7	9	12	29	36	30
10	Kolkheti Poti	28	6	10	12	34	35	28

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Sioni Bolnisi	FC Gori
FC Samtredia	0-3 L	0-1 L
Aragvi Dusheti	1-2 L	0-1 L
Merani Martvili	1-2 L	2-1 W
Kolkheti Poti	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Gareji	3-3 D	1-2 L
FC Telavi	2-1 W	2-2 D
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	1-0 W	3-2 W
SFC Shturmi	0-1 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Gori (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Sioni Bolnisi

WLLWWDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
20/09	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
16/09	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
12/09	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
06/09	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-1	3-3	5	6	D
29/08	FC Telavi Georgia First League	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
22/08	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	0	6	W
15/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
08/08	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-1	1-4	4	2	L
22/06	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	1-1	3-2	3	4	W

FC Gori

WWLLWWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
16/09	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-0	1-2	10	2	L
12/09	FC Telavi Georgia First League	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
06/09	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-1	3-2	2	3	W
29/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	3-1	2	3	W
22/08	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
08/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-0	4-1	5	2	W
22/06	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	2-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Sioni Bolnisi vs FC Gori?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Sioni Bolnisi win (44%). Probabilities: FC Sioni Bolnisi 44%, draw 27%, FC Gori 28%.

How many goals are expected in FC Sioni Bolnisi vs FC Gori?

The model expects 2.64 goals (FC Sioni Bolnisi 1.49 · FC Gori 1.15), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Sioni Bolnisi vs FC Gori?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.