Prediction: Rælingen vs Lillehammer
| Rælingen | Draw | Lillehammer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 19% | 57% |
| Market | 24% | 18% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lillehammer (rating 1491 vs 1590).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rælingen | Lillehammer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.6 | 4.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 2.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 1.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Gjøvik-Lyn | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
| 3 | Rade IL | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 25 | 22 |
| 4 | Elverum | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 22 |
| 5 | Sandefjord 2 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 19 |
| 6 | Oppsal | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 19 |
| 7 | Ørn Horten | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 19 |
| 8 | Lyn 1896 II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 9 | Rælingen | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 33 | 17 |
| 10 | Drøbak/Frogn | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 11 |
| 12 | Fram | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 9 |
| 13 | Brumunddal | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 8 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rælingen | Lillehammer |
|---|---|---|
| Bjørkelangen | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Rade IL | 2-7 L | 8-1 W |
| Fram | 1-5 L | 4-0 W |
| Brumunddal | 4-1 W | 8-0 W |
| Lyn 1896 II | 1-3 L | 5-3 W |
| Gjøvik-Lyn | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Drøbak/Frogn | 4-3 W | 2-2 D |
| Sarpsborg 2 | 2-2 D | 6-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 7 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lillehammer (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rælingen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-5 | 2-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/05 | Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 20/04 | Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
Lillehammer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-0 | 5-3 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
7-0 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
4-0 | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/04 | Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-1 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rælingen vs Lillehammer?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lillehammer win (58%). Probabilities: Rælingen 24%, draw 18%, Lillehammer 58%.
How many goals are expected in Rælingen vs Lillehammer?
The model expects 4.39 goals (Rælingen 1.73 · Lillehammer 2.66), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Rælingen vs Lillehammer?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.